NCAA-F  |  Oct 16, 2021
Alabama vs. Mississippi State
OVER
58 -110
  at  CAESARS
in 1h

*3 Star Free Pick on the Over* The Alabama Crimson Tide were constantly held to field goals in the red zone last week by a very talented Texas A&M defense. While Mississippi State is well coached defensively, they definitely don't have the talent on defense that Texas A&M has.

Mississippi State ranks 98th in the nation in tackling grade according to PFF. Alabama has the playmakers to make them pay for these missed tackles. The Bulldogs rank 113th in the nation in preventing explosive plays. Alabama always has elite wide receivers, and they have them once again this season. 

Mike Leach's Mississippi State team is throwing the football on 75.3% of their offensive plays so far this year. Alabama's secondary has been susceptible against the pass this year. While I think Alabama will do a pretty good job on the Bulldogs overall, I think the pace the Bulldogs will play at while trailing will give them a lot of chances to get in the end zone especially later in the game.

Alabama's offense is too talented to struggle for too long. The Crimson Tide should get on track offensively here. Mike Leach's crew should score enough to get this over the total.

Take the over.

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NCAA-F  |  Oct 16, 2021
Stanford vs. Washington State
Stanford
PK -110
  at  LINEPROS
in 2h

Washington St. has won two straight games to improve to 3-3 on the season and the Cougars have now won covered three straight games after losing their first three against the number. The defense has shown some improvement from last season but playing only four games last year kind of skews the numbers this year where they have allowed 24 or more points in five of six games. While this team is experienced on paper, 26 players have made their debuts with five players making their first career starts on offense and five on defense. Stanford comes in off a loss at Arizona St. last Friday and the Cardinal also come in at 3-3 on the season and this game will go a long way regarding bowl implications. The secondary is the most experienced unit on this defense and they are ranked No. 25 against the pass which is a big thing here going up against a Washington St. offense that is ranked No. 44 in passing offense which is good but certainly not close to where it used to be. Stanford has won 19 of its last 27 conference games when coming off a loss including 14 of its last 18 games. Cardinal are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game while the Cougars are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. Play (207) Stanford Cardinal

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ASA
NCAA-F  |  Oct 16, 2021
TCU vs. Oklahoma
OVER
63 -113
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

#175/176 ASA CFB FREE PLAY ON Over 63 Points – TCU vs Oklahoma, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET - Both teams are coming off high scoring games as TCU just faced Texas Tech and they combined for 83-points, while Oklahoma and Texas squared off in an All-timer with 103 total points. OU had played a couple lower scoring games but have figured things out offensively in two straight games with over 1,000 combined yards and 92-points against Kansas State and Texas. The Sooners made a change at QB last week from Rattler to Caleb Williams who threw for 212yards, 2 TD’s and ran for 88 yards. Williams is a dual threat QB and hard to prepare for. Last week he entered the game with 6 minutes to go in the first half he led the Sooners to 38-points on 9 possessions. With Williams under center the OU offense averaged 8.1YPPL after averaging just 5.7YPPL on the season. TCU defense way down from past editions allowing 30+ points in 4 straight games while ranking 122nd in total defense. The Horned Frog offense will need to score as well to reach this number and we like them to have success here. They have put up at least 34 points in 4 of their last 5. This one is a shootout and we like the OVER.

NCAA-F  |  Oct 16, 2021
Rice vs. UTSA
Rice
+18½ -110
  at  PINNACLE
in 59m

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Rice +18.5

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the UTSA Roadrunners.  They are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS this season and coming off a thrilling 52-46 win over Western Kentucky.  That shootout will have taken a lot out of them after giving up 670 total yards to the Hilltoppers.

Now UTSA will be playing for a 7th consecutive week to add to their fatigue.  They'll have a hard time getting up to face Rice and win this game by margin.  It's not like they are blowing teams out with five of their wins coming by 14 points or less.  The only exception was a blowout win over terrible FCS Lamar as a 37.5-point favorite.

Rice is in a great spot.  The Owls come in rested off their bye week and looking forward to facing the unbeaten Roadrunners.  They will treat this game like their 'Super Bowl'.  Rice also benefits from playing the much tougher schedule of these two teams as their three losses have come to Arkansas, Texas and Houston.  Remember, they were tied with Arkansas in the 4th quarter.

UTSA is 6-0 despite only outgaining opponents by 0.3 yards per play, averaging 5.8 yards per play on offense and giving up 5.5 yards per play on defense.  They are nowhere near as good as their record.  Each of the last seven meetings in this series have been decided by 17 points or fewer, and I expect that trend to continue here.

Rice is 27-8 ATS in its last 35 games after allowing 75 or fewer rushing yards last game.  The Owls are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.  The Roadrunners are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Bet Rice Saturday.

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NCAA-F  |  Oct 16, 2021
Ole Miss vs. Tennessee
Tennessee
+2½ -105
  at  MIRAGE
in 2h

1* Free Pick on Tennessee +2½ -105

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

NCAA-F  |  Oct 16, 2021
Louisiana Tech vs. UTEP
OVER
55 -110
  at  LINEPROS
in 3h
1* FREE INFO PLAY on Louisiana Tech vs UTEP over 55 -110
NCAA-F  |  Oct 16, 2021
Hawaii vs. Nevada
Nevada
-14 -110
  at  MIRAGE
in 5h

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Nevada -14

The Nevada Wolf Pack are 4-1 this season.  They came off their bye week and throttled New Mexico State 55-28.  That was a 52-7 game going into the 4th quarter.  They rested their starters and will be fresh for this game with Hawaii.  They will be revenge-minded after getting upset by Hawaii each of the last two seasons.  Hawaii just doesn't do as well when they come over to the mainland.  They lost by 34 at UCLA and by 18 at Oregon State with their lone road win coming against New Mexico State.  Hawaii is 5-21 ATS in its last 26 road games off a bye week.  Give me Nevada.

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NCAA-F  |  Oct 16, 2021
Army vs. Wisconsin
Wisconsin
-14 -107
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

Saturday card is loaded. The 100% ACC Game of the Year, Our Executive Level TIER 1 Side, the Early 5* Blowout along with the BIG 10 Game of the Month, EPL Soccer and MLB League Championship Power System plays. A huge day overall. College Comp Play below.

The College Comp play is on Wisconsin at 8:00 eastern. The Badgers are going to cause problems for Army as the Knights like to run the ball and Wisky has the #2 rush defense. The Badgers will wear down Army as they are a massive team on both sides of the line and can throw the ball better than Army. Wisconsin has covered 6 of 8 non conference. Army has failed to cover 5 of 6 with rest, 4 of 5 as a road dog as well as 4 of 5 after allowing less than 100 on the ground. Normally this would be a trap game for a power conference in the middle of their league schedule. However with Wisconsin favored by 14 and looking to get back to .500 and Army figuring to have a tough time on offense. We will back Wisconsin here. On Saturday we have a huge card up led by the ACC Game of the Year and our Executive Level Tier 1. There is also League Championship Power Systems in MLB. Jump on now as we are expecting another big day. For the College Comp play. Lay the 14 with Wisconsin. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.

NCAA-F  |  Oct 16, 2021
Iowa State vs. Kansas State
Kansas State
+6½ -105
  at  LINEPROS
in 2h

FREE PICK: Kansas State +6.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 198

I will gladly take my chances with Kansas State as a near touchdown underdog at home against Iowa State. I don't think the Cyclones have any business laying this kind of number on the road against the Wildcats. 

Kansas State has lost their last two, but they were competitive in both losses and both of the defeats came against teams who are currently undefeated on the season. They lost 20-31 on the road at Oklahoma State and 31-37 at home to Oklahoma. The other big thing to note is they didn't have starting quarterback Skylar Thompson in the loss to the Cowboys. 

He just made his return to action in their last game against Oklahoma and he was sensational, completing 29 of 41 attempts for 320 yards with 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. When he's in the lineup for the Wildcats they have been extremely tough to beat. 

This is also a K-State team that outside of last year (lost 45-0) has really owned the Cyclones. Wildcats have won 23 of the last 29 meetings and are 13-1 at home in the series between the two. 

I just think we are seeing Iowa State continue to be overvalued because of all the preseason hype they got. This is not the team we thought we were going to see in 2021 and a lot of that is they aren't getting the production they need out of senior quarterback Brock Purdy. Take out the 2 games against Kansas and UNLV and Purdy has a 1-4 TD-INT ratio in 3 games vs Baylor, Iowa and UNI. Give me the Wildcats +6.5! 

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