Free Picks

Jack's Free Pick Monday: Rockies/Dodgers OVER 9.5

The Dodgers have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 5.3 runs per game.  The Colorado Rockies are hot at the plate scoring 6 runs or more in eight of their last 11 games overall.  Both offenses should stay hot tonight against these two suspect starting pitchers.

Kyle Freeland is 2-7 with a 7.25 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in 16 games this season.  He has been even worse away from Coors Field at 0-5 with a 8.31 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in eight games, allowing 32 earned runs and 9 homers in 34 2/3 innings.  Freeland allowed 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 4 innings of a 15-6 loss to the Dodgers in his lone start against them this season.

Eric Lauer is one of the weakest links in this Los Angeles rotation.  He is 4-5 with a 4.84 ERA in 14 games this season, allowing 38 earned runs and 17 homers in 70 2/3 innings.  Lauer is 2-2 with a 5.63 ERA in six home games, allowing 20 earned runs and 9 homers in 32 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

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What could be more even than the Diamondbacks meeting the Padres with both teams 44-45? Certainly the oddsmaker sees it that way making San Diego a slight home favorite.

I see it differently. I believe the Padres should be a bigger favorite based on the starting pitching matchup of Brandon Pfaadt versus Walker Buehler and San Diego being home.

The Padres have a winning record at Petco Park. Arizona is 17-25 on the road.

Pfaadt has a 5.40 ERA and 1.41 WHIP. He is giving up 1.7 home runs and 3.7 walks per nine innings and is not a big strikeout pitcher.

Buehler has a 4.61 ERA that is somewhat misleading. Buehler had allowed only one earned run during each of his last five starts spanning 30 2/3 innings entering his last outing. That unfortunately came against the Cubs at Wrigley Field with the wind blowing out and he was hammered for nine earned runs in four innings.

The setting couldn't be more different now for Buehler. His days of being an ace for the Dodgers are long finished because of injuries, but he has settled down to become a respectable pitcher for San Diego. I can't say that about Pfaadt.

The bar is not set high here for Buehler. The Diamondbacks are averaging 3.4 runs in their last nine games. They are below average in all of the major offensive categories.

San Diego also holds a bullpen edge with the seventh-lowest ERA at 3.73. Arizona relievers have a 4.14 ERA.

ASA FREE PLAY on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 -125 over Kansas City Royals, Monday at 2:20 ET - The Phillies have been fantastic when off a loss and we like them here against Noah Cameron and the Royals as he is coming off a tough month. Philadelphia responds big at the plate after a rare tough day yesterday. Also, the southpaw Christopher Sanchez has been fantastic this season and he should dominate again here. The run line offers exceptional value here as this is a very low price for backing the Phillies in a great spot and they should win by a solid margin here. Lay it with the Phillies on the run line! ASA FREE PLAY Philadelphia -1.5 -125

Giants +1.5

San Francisco and Toronto meet and we are on the Giants RL. San Francisco sends out Landen Roupp, who struggled last time out. However, prior to that he had back to back quality starts and shut down the A’s and Marlins for 6.0 innings each. Kevin Gausman counters and he is just 4-7 this season. Toronto hasn’t had a lot of success in his starts and this is a perfect spot to fade him. Back the Giants on the RL. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the GIANTS RL. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Monday FREE MLB RL Play

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This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our Monday Free Play. The Cardinals won their series in Chicago which gave them a 4-2 roadtrip and they return home for a big series as they still trail the Brewers by 7.5 games in the National League Central. Dustin May returns to the mound a day sooner than expected after he recorded just two outs in his last start in Atlanta, allowing five runs before exiting after getting hit with a comebacker. His last two starts have been dreadful as he has allowed 11 runs in 2.2 innings and this is now a buy low time as he had a 3.75 ERA in his previous 14 starts. Milwaukee took two of three in Arizona to maintain its sizable lead in the division and the Brewers are now 11 games over .500 on the road and come in as expected road favorites. Shane Drohan is making his eighth start and taking out his relief appearances, he has a 4.09 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in his seven starts. Play (904) St. Louis Cardinals

Fargo is coming off a 3-1 Sunday including 2-1 in MLB, with the wins on the +115 Twins and +109 Astros and he opens the new week to add to the great season start. TWO Winners on Monday continues the MASSIVE winning!

R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Monday 7-6-26

OVER 8 Philadelphia/Kansas City

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1* Free Pick on Storm/Sparks: over 174½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

Dave's Monday Free Play:

1* on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-120)

The Key: The Philadelphia Phillies have a big edge on the rubber over the Kansas City Royals today.  Cristopher Sanchez is 10-3 with a 2.00 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 18 starts this year for the Phillies.  Noah Cameron is 4-6 with a 4.95 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 16 starts this year for the Royals.  Cameron is 3-2 with a 5.44 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 9 home starts as well.  He has yielded 18 ER in 18 innings in his last 4 starts for a 9.00 ERA.  Take Philadelphia on the Run Line.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Milwaukee Brewers -102

The Milwaukee Brewers are 55-33 this season with a +127 run differential which is the second-best mark in baseball.  They are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season.  Now they face Dustin May, who has given up 11 earned runs in 2 2/3 innings in his last two starts.  Shane Drohan has only given up 3 earned runs in 15 innings in his last three starts for the Brewers.  He is 3-2 with a 3.12 ERA in 57 2/3 innings this season.  Give me the Brewers.

BIG MONDAY has a TOP TOTAL Tonight in WORLD CUP Action along with MLB and Early Wimbledon. Comp play below

The World Cup Comp play is on Portugal plus the half goal at 3 eastern. These two have met over 40 times historically, the last one was in 2025 finishing in a 2-2 tie decided by Kicks. Spain features a flawless defensive unit and is extremely difficult to breakdown. Today, however they take on a talent Portugal team with strikers that have the ability to create in space and bread down even the stingiest of back lines. Portugal likely sits back and plays a bit of a block while Spain looks to control the ball. Portugal can be lethal in transition on counters. While many want to crown Spain with the 2-1 win this one likely remains knotted and most likely goes to extra time. Play on Portugal plus the half goal. GL Rob V-

Monday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Padres -119

My selection is on Kansas City over Philadelphia at 2:10 pm et on Monday.

Most bettors will look to back the Phillies with their ace Cristopher Sanchez taking the ball in this bounce-back situation off yesterday's loss. We'll go the other way and back the Royals at a generous price noting that Sanchez just hasn't been nearly as dominant on the road compared to at home this season. In Philadelphia, Sanchez has recorded a 0.86 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in 11 starts but he owns a 3.89 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in seven road outings. Royals starter Noah Cameron has labored through his last couple of starts but still owns a solid 3.84 FIP on the season. The big difference this year has been the fact that he's allowed a whopping 10.0 hits per nine innings - up nearly three hits per nine innings over last year. Some of that has to do with bad luck, however, and it's worth noting that his home runs and walks allowed are down and strikeouts are up compared to last year. We'll take a flyer on the Royals on a rare Monday 'getaway day' in Kansas City. Take Kansas City (8*).

Mets vs Braves MLB Free Pick

The Angle(s): The bats have completely stolen the show in this series, with the last two games combining for a staggering 36 runs. The starting pitching profiles for the finale suggest the fireworks are set to continue.

The Mets hand the ball to right-hander Freddy Peralta (5-7, 4.81 ERA), who has hit a major speed bump lately, laboring through an ugly 8.49 ERA over his past five starts

The Braves counter with right-hander Reynaldo Lopez (4-1, 3.31 ERA). While Lopez has been much sharper than his counterpart this summer, he has frequently struggled to go deep into games, often forcing an early handover to the bullpen.

With both orders swinging hot bats, expect the scoreboard to light up early and often.

The Bet: Over (3%). 

Marc David Sports' Free Pick

We really like the home team in this matchup. Padres' RHP Walker Buehler (5-4, 4.61 ERA) was on a roll before getting shlled in a 23-3 loss at Wrigley Field last time out. Now back at Petco Park where he has a 4-1 team record and 3.13 ERA, we expect a much stronger outing, enough to help the Friars to win. 

This is a FREE PLAY on the PADRES!

1% GOLD RUSH on Jessica Pegula/Cori Gauff: under 22½