NBA  |  Nov 04, 2024
Magic vs. Thunder
Thunder
-12½ -110
  at  LINEPROS
in 6h

Jack's Free Pick Monday: Oklahoma City Thunder -12.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder are an absolute wagon this season.  They are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS with their only non-cover coming by a 0.5-point.  They covered the other five games by a combined 58.5 points.  Books just can't set their numbers high enough at this point.

Now the Thunder get to face a struggling Orlando Magic team that is without their best player.  They lost Paulo Banchero three games ago and have gone 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS since.  That includes their 108-85 road loss at Dallas last night as 7-point dogs.

So now the Magic will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, while the Thunder had yesterday off.  This will also be the 7th game in 11 days for the Magic, who just won't have much left in the tank for the Thunder.  

Orlando also lost Wendell Carter Jr. to injury early on yesterday and he is questionable to play today.  The Thunder will push the pace and run the short-handed Magic out of the gym.  Bet the Thunder Monday.

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NCAA-B  |  Nov 04, 2024
Marist vs. Harvard
Harvard
-3 -110
  at  CIRCA
in 1h
1 Dimer on Harvard
NCAA-B  |  Nov 04, 2024
Wright State vs. Kentucky
OVER
159½ -105
  at  MIRAGE
in 3h
[1%] Free Play on Kentucky over
NBA  |  Nov 04, 2024
Pacers vs. Mavs
OVER
235½ -110
  at  YOUWAGER
in 6h

Monday night Football Total of the Month and a Pair of Opening night NCAAB Blowout system sides headline. NBA Comp play below

The NBA Comp play is on the Over in the Indiana at Dallas game at 9:45 eastern Thus far this season home favorites off a home win with a total of 225 or higher are going over at an 80% clip. In the series here the last 3 have gone over all with at least 237 points scored. The Pacers are on a 4-0 Over run. Dallas played last night so they may have some tires legs. Play this game over the total. Rob V-

NCAA-F  |  Nov 09, 2024
Michigan vs. Indiana
Indiana
-14 -110
  at  LINEPROS
in 5d

Michigan vs Indiana 
3:30 ET | Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, IN 
5-Unit Bet on the Michigan Wolverines priced as 14-point underdogs. 

Coming off a 5-2 ATS NFL Sunday and 10-UNIT MAX Bet goes tonight in MNF action. 7-2 ATS this season with 10-UNIT MAX Bets!

Live Betting Strategy: The markets opened this game with Indiana priced as a 14-point favorite and the line is likely to grind higher throughout the week. My suggestion is to bet 50% of my 5-Unit betting amount (3 to 10-Unit gradings and 10-UNITS are 7-2 ATS for 74% winning bets in the NFL and CFB combined this season and 67% ATS over more than 5 seasons) on Monday and then use the remaining 50% to add on Indiana if Michigan scores the first points of the game, retakes the lead during the first half of action, or the line drops to 9.5 or fewer-points. 

The Hoosiers have Bloomington Rocking with Excitement 

Indiana has had a historic season and as a fan of college football nothing makes me more in love with the game than teams just like Indiana. The Hoosiers do not have a 100,000+ stadium of fanatic fans but they do have one half as big that seats 52,626 fans and rank as the 15th largest of the 18 teams in the Big Ten Conference.  

Under first year head coach, Curt Cignetti, he has put together a terrific team filled with players who simply love and play hard for all 60 minutes. They are in position to win their third Big ten Conference Championship in their 126-year program history. Indiana's undefeated season is a remarkable achievement, especially considering their previous 126 seasons. The Hoosiers have never started a season 9-0, making this one of the best starts in program history. 

Michigan Wolverines (5-4, 3-3 Big Ten) 

Offensive Stats: 414 total yards per game 

Defensive Stats: 11.9 points allowed per game (2nd in Big Ten) 

Key Player: QB J.J. McCarthy (732 yards, 5 TDs, 6 INTs) 

Injuries: None reported 

Indiana Hoosiers (9-0, 6-0 Big Ten) 

Offensive Stats: 46.5 points per game (2nd in nation) 

Defensive Stats: 14.1 points allowed per game (2nd in Big Ten) 

Key Player: QB Kurtis Rourke (2,204 yards, 19 TDs, 3 INTs) 

Injuries: None reported 

Key Matchups 

Michigan's Pass Rush vs. Indiana's Offensive Line: Michigan's elite pass rushers will test Indiana's offensive line, which has allowed 8 sacks this season. 

Indiana's Rushing Attack vs. Michigan's Run Defense: Indiana's Justice Ellison (669 yards, 9 TDs) will face Michigan's top-ranked run defense. 

Indiana's Air Attack vs. Michigan's Secondary: Indiana's Elijah Sarratt (649 yards, 5 TDs) will challenge Michigan's secondary, which has allowed long touchdown passes in recent games. 

The Meaningful Situational Angles 

Indiana finally got the attention of the pollsters and jumped 5 spots to No. 8 however that is not the best of news from an analytical view. Teams that jumped higher by five or more spots in the current polls and the current game taking place from week 9 to the end of the season have gone 237-143 SU (62%) and 166-203-11 ATS for 45% winning bets over the last 30 seasons. Since 2015 these juggernauts have tended to fall a bit flat going 96-59 SU (62%) and 63-86-6 ATS for 58% winning bets. However, teams that jumped five or more spots in the polls, playing at home, and priced as a double-digit favorite from week 9 on out to the end of the season have gone 42-5 SU (89.4%) and 21-25-1 ATS for 46% last 25 seasons. So, the jump in the polls does not correlate all that well to the game results based on the “P-Value”. 

Teams, like Indiana, playing from week 9 on out to the end of the season that have an offensive to defensive efficiency differential of –8 or lower, playing at home, and are undefeated have gone 90-13 SU (87%) and 58-39-5 ATS for 60% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.  if the opponent is not ranked our undefeated teams have gone 71-5 SU (83.4%) and 45-27-3 for 63% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. Drilling deeper into the database we learn that our undefeated teams have gone 17-0 SU (100%) and 11-5-1 ATS for 69% winning bets over the past 25 seasons if the foe is coming off a home loss. 

From the Predictive Models 

The Hoosiers have been dominant this season, outscoring opponents by a combined 372-113 and lead the Nig ten with the most efficient offensive posting a 10.23 yards-per-point ratio. This simply means on average Indiana puts up one point for every 10 yards they have gained this season. The Michigan defense has the fifth worst defensive efficiency ratio at 14.79 i the Big Ten and this is a significant advantage for the Indiana offense. Indiana has the second-best defensive efficiency ratio posting a 19.19 yards per point allowed while Michigan’s offense ranks 7th-best in the Big Ten at 10.23 yards-per-point. So, Indiana has the advantage on both sides of the ball in this matchup. 

The models are projecting that Indiana will score 28 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers in this game. In past home games when Indiana has met or exceeded these projections, they went 17-2 SU (90%) and 15-4 ATS for 79% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. If these games were played at Memorial Stadium, they went 11-0 SU and 8-2 ATS for 73% winning bets over the past five seasons.  

The Indiana Hoosiers are not a team to fade as they are on a current undefeated winning run that has seen their confidence soar and their play execution far better than what Michigan has done this season. 

NBA  |  Nov 04, 2024
Lakers vs. Pistons
Lakers
-7 -110
  at  YOUWAGER
in 4h

Dave's Monday Free Play:

1* on Los Angeles Lakers -7

The Key: The Lakers have had the last 2 days off and will be ready to go tonight.  The Detroit Pistons will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after beating Brooklyn on the road last night.  It will also be the 7th game in 11 days for the Pistons.  The Lakers have won 7 consecutive matchups with the Pistons and should make it 8 in a row by at least 8 points tonight to get the win and cover.  Take Los Angeles.

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NFL  |  Nov 04, 2024
Bucs vs. Chiefs
UNDER
45½ -110
  at  CONSENSUS
in 5h

1* Free Pick on Bucs/Chiefs under

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

NBA  |  Nov 04, 2024
Pacers vs. Mavs
Mavs
-5 -108
  at  LINEPROS
in 6h

David's 1% NBA Free Pick

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider how mediocre the Pacers have looked through their first six games and that Dallas is gaining momentum with three wins in four games. 

This is a 1% free play on the Mavericks on the spread.

NBA  |  Nov 04, 2024
Pacers vs. Mavs
Pacers
+5 -109
  at  CONSENSUS
in 6h

Monday's Free NBA Pick

PLAY ON: Pacers +5 

I'll take the 5-points with the Pacers on the road against the Mavericks. Indiana has gotten off to a sluggish 2-4 start, but I think we know the talent is there. We saw it in their win at home against the Celtics last Wednesday. The only other game they have played since is on Friday, so Indiana is going to be fresh and hungry for this game. Dallas has looked good in a 4-2 start. They come in off 23-point win over a depleted Magic team, but the 3 other wins were all close (won by 11 vs the Spurs, 8 vs the Jazz and 6 vs the T-Wolves. They have no rest in this matchup, as they played yesterday against Orlando. I think Indiana keeps this close and maybe even wins outright. Give me the Pacers +5! 

NCAA-B  |  Nov 04, 2024
Marist vs. Harvard
Harvard
-3 -110
  at  CIRCA
in 1h
1* on Harvard
NBA  |  Nov 04, 2024
Blazers vs. Pelicans
Blazers
+2½ -109
  at  CONSENSUS
in 6h

1* NBA - Blazers/Pelicans FREE PICK on Blazers +2.5

NFL  |  Nov 04, 2024
Bucs vs. Chiefs
UNDER
45½ -110
  at  YOUWAGER
in 5h

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Bucs/Chiefs under

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

NBA  |  Nov 04, 2024
76ers vs. Suns
OVER
223½ -105
  at  LINEPROS
in 7h

1 Unit FREE PLAY on 76ers/Suns OVER 223.5

The Philadelphia 76ers are expected to get Paul George back for his season debut tonight against the Phoenix Suns.  He will certainly help them out offensively, but this is still a terrible defensive team.  They rank 21st in defensive efficiency thus far while giving up 49.6% shooting.  They don't stand much of a chance slowing down this Phoenix Suns team that is absolutely loaded offensively.  The Suns are fully healthy and showing what they are capable of.  They are shooting more 3's and fewer mid-range jump shots this season under Mike Budneholzer as well.  Give me the OVER.

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NFL  |  Nov 04, 2024
Bucs vs. Chiefs
OVER
45½ -110
  at  CIRCA
in 5h

1* Best Bet on Bucs/Chiefs over

No analysis provided.

NFL  |  Nov 04, 2024
Bucs vs. Chiefs
OVER
45½ -110
  at  YOUWAGER
in 5h
1* Free Sharp Play on Bucs vs Chiefs over
NFL  |  Nov 04, 2024
Bucs vs. Chiefs
Chiefs
-8½ -110
  at  ACE
in 5h

Pure Lock's FREE NFL play Monday 11-4-24

Kansas City -8 1/2

Pure Lock has a TOP NBA play available on Monday on the Grizzlies/Nets. Pure Lock is mainly known for his selectivity in handicapping all sports and normally releases one pick per sport per day or passes! QUALITY over Quantity here. Currently on an impressive 185-160 (54%) run over his last 350 OVERALL picks! $1,000 per game players have CASHED $6,230 since March 21, 2024!

NBA  |  Nov 04, 2024
Pacers vs. Mavs
Pacers
+5 -110
  at  CIRCA
in 6h

Mikey Sports FREE NBA play Monday 11-4-24

Indiana +5

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NCAA-B  |  Nov 04, 2024
The Citadel vs. Boston College
OVER
135½ -110
  at  CONSENSUS
in 4h

R&R Totals FREE CBB Over-Under Monday 11-4-24

OVER 135 1/2 The Citadel/Boston College

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NFL  |  Nov 04, 2024
Bucs vs. Chiefs
Chiefs
-8½ -110
  at  ACE
in 5h

Chiefs -8.5

The Chiefs battle with the Bucs and Kansas City right now look solid. Kansas City remains unbeaten and they’re getting good production on both sides of the ball. Offensively, they haven’t broke stride from last season. They’re moving the ball with ease and they’re getting big plays from many different players. Mahomes makes his receivers better and they’re pushing the issue against opposing defenses. This is a good matchup as the Bucs defense is a debacle right now and continues to give up big plays. There’s good value here on the Chiefs. My daily free plays are meant to be 5* bankroll plays. Remember folks, money management is the key to profits when it comes to sports gambling. Strong lean on the CHIEFS ATS tonight. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 5* FREE NFL ATS Play

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NCAA-B  |  Nov 04, 2024
Missouri vs. Memphis
Missouri
+5 -110
  at  YOUWAGER
in 4h
1* Free Play on Missouri
NCAA-B  |  Nov 04, 2024
Ohio State vs. Texas
OVER
145½ -115
  at  MIRAGE
in 6h
Free Total Annihilator On Ohio State vs Texas over
NBA  |  Nov 04, 2024
Spurs vs. Clippers
OVER
217½ -110
  at  CIRCA
in 7h

Monday NBA Free play. My selection is on the 'over' between San Antonio and Los Angeles at 10:30 pm et on Monday.

Both of these teams are coming off low-scoring games and in the case of the Spurs, five straight 'under' results. I expect a different story to unfold on Monday night in Los Angeles. The Clippers have now lost three games in a row and most recently got bogged down by an elite Thunder defense, scoring just 92 points in Saturday's loss. They should find the going a little easier on Monday against San Antonio. The Spurs are coming off a 113-103 win over the Timberwolves on Saturday. They check in ranked third in the league in defensive rating this season but I expect some regression in that department moving forward. Look for this total to prove too low on Monday. Take the over.