Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens Betting Pick

Written by superuser | October 28, 2020

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens Betting Pick


From watching the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Baltimore Ravens, it’s obvious that both teams are very good. They have a combined 11-1 record, with the Steelers the only remaining unbeaten team in the NFL. This matchup is the first of two meetings this season for the AFC North rivals.

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Season Recap

The 6-0 Steelers have outgained all of their opponents this season and lead the league in yards allowed. They’ve limited their opponents to 286 yards a game and held the explosive Cleveland Browns to 220 yards. Offensively, Pittsburgh runs a balanced attack, with over 46% of its plays on the ground.

Baltimore started the season as a strong favorite to win the AFC, along with defending champion Kansas City. In their worst outing of the season, the Ravens were totally dominated by the Chiefs. They gave up over 500 yards in total offense while being held to a total of 228 yards.

The 34-20 defeat put the Ravens at a disadvantage to both the Chiefs and Steelers, making this game almost a must-win. A loss would potentially put them behind both teams in the standings and in the head-to-head tiebreakers.


Betting Lines

Baltimore comes into the game in second place in the AFC North but is the favorite in the game. After an opening spread of 5.5 points, it currently stands at 3.5. The over/under is 46.5, among the lowest of the season.

The Steelers are 5-1 against the spread, while the Ravens are 3-2-1. Top cappers know the Steelers could easily be 6-0 ATS if they’d kicked a late field goal against the Broncos.

The Ravens lead the league in scoring defense, yielding only 17.3 points per game in a high-scoring season. The Steelers defense is also stingy, giving up the sixth-fewest points in the NFL at 19.6 per game. Both teams score around 30 points a game, with the Steelers slightly higher than the Ravens.

Game Preview

These two teams simply don’t like each other, and the games are usually very physical and defense-oriented. This game was originally scheduled for last week, with byes for both teams scheduled for this week. It was moved to this week to accommodate the rescheduling of the Steelers-Titans game to Week 7.

The Ravens had their bye week moved to Week 7 and got a week off before facing the Steelers. Pittsburgh has complained publicly about the adverse treatment in the handling of the scheduling. I would expect the Steelers to come into Baltimore with a significant chip on their collective shoulders.

Both teams run balanced offenses, with Baltimore running the ball on 52% of its plays. This is due to the running ability of Lamar Jackson, who has rushed for 346 yards on 50 carries. The Steelers are giving up less than 70 yards a game on the ground, so something will have to give.

As impressive as the Ravens’ defense has been, they’ve only faced one other team as good as the Steelers. That game was against the Chiefs, and we know what happened in that one. Pittsburgh runs a ball-control, grind-it-out offense that has worn down opponents all year. This free pick is a good time to take advantage of online sportsbooks promotions.

Look for the Steelers to remain undefeated and open a nice lead on the rest of the division. I don’t think the Ravens are as good as advertised.

Take the Steelers and the over. Pittsburgh 27, Baltimore 21