1* Free Pick on Saints +3½ -115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Saints +3 -105

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

Monday NFL Free play. My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Tampa Bay at 8:15 pm et on Monday.

Off a shutout loss in San Francisco last week and revenge-minded after dropping a 20-10 decision at home against the Buccaneers back in Week 2, I'll grab the points with the Saints on Monday Night Football. Here, we'll note that New Orleans is 40-23 ATS the last 63 times it has gone on the road seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent, outscoring foes by an average margin of 0.8 points in that situation. Better still, the Saints are 17-5 ATS the last 22 times they've played on the road in a revenge spot having scored 14 points or fewer in that previous matchup. The Buccaneers have topped out at 22 points over their last seven games and just lost key offensive lineman Tristan Wirfs to an ankle injury last week, making it less than appealing to be laying points with them at this stage of the season. While I'd like to see the Saints give QB Jameis Winston another chance under center, that won't happen from the get-go tonight. If Andy Dalton struggles early, Winston could see some action, in which case I like this play even more. Take New Orleans.