*3 Star Free Pick on the Over* The Alabama Crimson Tide were constantly held to field goals in the red zone last week by a very talented Texas A&M defense. While Mississippi State is well coached defensively, they definitely don't have the talent on defense that Texas A&M has.

Mississippi State ranks 98th in the nation in tackling grade according to PFF. Alabama has the playmakers to make them pay for these missed tackles. The Bulldogs rank 113th in the nation in preventing explosive plays. Alabama always has elite wide receivers, and they have them once again this season. 

Mike Leach's Mississippi State team is throwing the football on 75.3% of their offensive plays so far this year. Alabama's secondary has been susceptible against the pass this year. While I think Alabama will do a pretty good job on the Bulldogs overall, I think the pace the Bulldogs will play at while trailing will give them a lot of chances to get in the end zone especially later in the game.

Alabama's offense is too talented to struggle for too long. The Crimson Tide should get on track offensively here. Mike Leach's crew should score enough to get this over the total.

Take the over.

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