FREE PICK: Kansas State +6.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 198

I will gladly take my chances with Kansas State as a near touchdown underdog at home against Iowa State. I don't think the Cyclones have any business laying this kind of number on the road against the Wildcats. 

Kansas State has lost their last two, but they were competitive in both losses and both of the defeats came against teams who are currently undefeated on the season. They lost 20-31 on the road at Oklahoma State and 31-37 at home to Oklahoma. The other big thing to note is they didn't have starting quarterback Skylar Thompson in the loss to the Cowboys. 

He just made his return to action in their last game against Oklahoma and he was sensational, completing 29 of 41 attempts for 320 yards with 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. When he's in the lineup for the Wildcats they have been extremely tough to beat. 

This is also a K-State team that outside of last year (lost 45-0) has really owned the Cyclones. Wildcats have won 23 of the last 29 meetings and are 13-1 at home in the series between the two. 

I just think we are seeing Iowa State continue to be overvalued because of all the preseason hype they got. This is not the team we thought we were going to see in 2021 and a lot of that is they aren't getting the production they need out of senior quarterback Brock Purdy. Take out the 2 games against Kansas and UNLV and Purdy has a 1-4 TD-INT ratio in 3 games vs Baylor, Iowa and UNI. Give me the Wildcats +6.5! 

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