Frank Sawyer Frank Sawyer
Frank Sawyer has FIVE 1ST PLACE WINNERS in his last 14 PGA Tour Reports -- and his PGA Farmers Insurance Open Betting Report has his BEST BET, his TOP OVERLAY BET, and his LONG SHOT BET (with three props)!
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Matchup Selection W/L
PGA  |  Jan 25, 2023
Jon Rahm vs. Collin Morikawa
Collin Morikawa
+223
  at  ACE
started

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR WEDNESDAY, 1/25:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. Take Collin Morikawa in tournament matchup head-to-head props versus Jon Rahm at the PGA Farmers Insurance Open that tees off at 12 PM ET on Wednesday. Rahm is the clear favorite at this event given his red-hot form and excellent cause history here — and he is listed at a mere +450 at DraftKings to win this event. But he gets the North Course at Torrey Pines on Thursday which puts him at a competitive disadvantage versus golfers who get the North Course on Day One on Wednesday (besides his odds being simply too small relative to the strong field). Heavy winds are expected on Thursday for the second round — and that impacts my strategy with my top-three golfers in my Report teeing off on the shorter North Course today. We want to avoid golfers playing the easier North Course on Thursday since they will have to deal with these winds; instead, we want want to target golfers who can take advantage of the easier North Course in better weather conditions on Wednesday. The North Course plays much easier than the South Course — and it actually ranks as one of the easiest tracks on the tour. At 7258 yards, the pros on the North Course shot an average of three shots better there than on the South Course which consists of 7765 yards with narrow fairways and small greens. The Poa Annua greens on the South Course play slower and can be more of a challenge than the Bentgrass putting surface on the North Course.  Morikawa plays the North Course today with the better conditions. He can struggle with his putter — but he ranks 8th in the field this week in Adjusted Scoring on courses with Poa Annua greens in the last two years. Morikawa thrived at Torrey Pines in 2021 when the US Open was hosted at the South Course — he finished tied for 4th place. Morikawa should be chippy this week after blowing his big lead at the PGA Sentry Tournament of Champions where he settled for 2nd place to Rahm. Take Morikawa (7006) versus Rahm (7005) in tournament matchup head-to-head props. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer has FIVE 1ST PLACE WINNERS in his last 14 PGA Tour Reports — his regulars enjoy over 38 WEEKS OF FREE ROLLS for all of 2023 and beyond! Frank’s PGA Farmers Insurance Open Betting Report this week includes his BEST BET WAGER to win; his TOP OVERLAY BET that identifies the most value; and his LONG SHOT BET of a golfer outside the top ten favorites — along with BONUS HEAD-TO-HEAD PROP BETS with his three favorite golfers! BANK on Frank!

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 25, 2023
Army vs American
Army
+3½ -110 at Mirage
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Army Black Knights (1521) plus the points versus the American Eagles (1522). THE SITUATION: Army (11-10) has lost two games in a row after their 77-71 upset loss to Navy as a 1.5-point favorite on Saturday. American (12-7) has lost four games in a row after their 62-61 loss at Colgate as an 11.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BLACK KNIGHTS PLUS THE POINTS: Army is one of the best shooting teams in the nation — they rank 11th in the country with an effective field goal percentage of 55.9%. They actually are even more effective at shooting the basketball when they are playing on the road in hostile environments. When playing in another opponent’s gyms, the Black Knights rank 2nd in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 58.9%. They rank 39.3% of their 3-pointers in true road games, ranking 18th in the nation, and they are making 58.9% of their shots inside the arc in their eighth true road games, ranking 5th in the nation. American does not play great defense on their home court — they rank 239th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 50.4% when playing at home and both of their opponent 3-point and 2-point field goal percentage ranks 209th or worse in the nation. Army has a 5-3 record when playing in a hostile environment on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straights on the road. They have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games on the road with the total set in the 130s. Army also thrives in keeping their opponents off the offensive glass — they rank 27th in the nation by holding their opponents to rebounding just 24.2% of their missed shots. The Black Knights have covered the point spread in 33 of their last 47 games in January. They are also 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 7 games as an underdog, Army has covered the point spread all 7 times. American has failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games after a loss by three points or less — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 15 games after a loss by three points or less against a Patriot League rival. Additionally, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after a loss on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 13 games after a loss on the road by three points or less. Furthermore, American has failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after losing a game where they covered the point spread as the underdog. They return home where they are 5-2 this season — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home. They have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 home games with the Total set in the 130s. The Eagles have also failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: American will be looking to avenge a 72-60 loss at Army on November 11th — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games when playing with same-season revenge. 25* CBB Patriot League Underdog of the Month with the Army Black Knights (1521) plus the points versus the American Eagles (1522). Best of luck for us — Frank.

SERVICE BIO

Frank Sawyer offers unmatched handicapping analysis over a diverse array of sports for his Hollywood Sports clients. Frank combines his over twenty years of experience as a professional sports handicapper with the drive to outwork his competition. Why invest in a sports service? Frank answers that question with a proven methodology. His model for success starts by investing a significant amount of time analyzing each team in the sports he handicaps to serve as a foundation for that season. Frank then combines his team assessments with empirical situational handicapping angles along with the latest in cutting edge analytics to identify value in the betting line. Decades of handicapping experience along with his unrelenting focus are the qualities that Frank offers his clients. Frank produces extensive reports that detail his decisions. He does this for two reasons: (1) clients deserve to see the work that goes into a conclusion and (2) Frank’s attention to detail within these reports validates to his clients that he continues to work tirelessly to unearth winning angles. With that ambition in mind, Frank has expanded his areas of interest and scrutiny to include the English Premier League, the PGA Tour, the WNBA, and UFC/Boxing in recent years to go along with the major four sports of football, basketball, baseball, and hockey along with the Canadian Football League, Horse Racing, and World Cup Soccer that he has specialized in since he began Hollywood Sports in 1997. Frank believes long-term success involves not only continuing to dig deeper into the sports that he covers but also in expanding his horizons with new events that can provide additional tools in his handicapping toolbox with the goal of rewarding his clients for their loyalty over the years.

Frank uses a rating 10*, 20*, 25* rating system that also serves a guide for money management: 10* plays warrant a standard bet; 20* plays should see a doubling of that standard bet; 25* plays are Frank’s highest-rated play with the recommendation to invest 2.5 times the standard bet. For Frank’s futures reports or for events with odds such as PGA events or horse races, Frank usually offers three recommendations in his betting report: his Best Bet for the event; his Top Overlay Bet which presents his best value play relative to the odds for the event: and his Long Shot Bet for a big underdog offer value with its potential big payout. Frank’s signature play his “A-List* release which is reserved for rare and elite betting opportunities.

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