At 9:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Texas A&M Aggies (752) minus the point(s) versus the Oklahoma Sooners (751) in the second round of the SEC tournament. THE SITUATION: Texas A&M (21-10) has won two games in a row after their 94-91 victory in overtime at LSU as a 2.5-point favorite last Saturday. Oklahoma (18-14) has won five games in a row after their 86-74 victory against South Carolina as a 7.5-point favorite in the opening round of this tournament. This game is being played on a neutral court at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee. 

REASONS TO TAKE THE AGGIES MINUS THE POINT(S): Texas A&M has covered the point spread in 14 of their last 20 games after a straight-up win, including 8 of those 11 games played on the road. They have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win against a fellow SEC rival. They have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road after scoring 85 or more points in their last game. This is a balanced team that ranks 41st in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and 38th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. On the road, they are surrendering -6.9 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions — and they improve to 21st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when away from home. The Sooners led the SEC with a 38.7% shooting clip from behind the arc — but the Aggies are third in the nation with an opponents' shooting percentage of 28.1% behind the arc when playing on the road. Texas A&M has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games on the road. They have also covered the point spread in 6 straight tournament games. Oklahoma has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after scoring 85 points in their last game, including failing to cover the point spread in five of those seven games on the road. Defense is a liability for this team as they rank 125th in the nation and 11th in the SEC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They are surrendering +2.4 more points per 100 adjusted possessions on the road. They rank 305th in the nation by allowing their opponents to pull down 34.8% of their missed shots when they are playing on the road. They are also scoring -2.1 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions when on the road. The Sooners have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games when the Total is set in the 160s, including failing to cover the point spread in all three of those games played on the road. 

FINAL TAKE: The Sooners have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games on the road against teams that are winning 60-80% of their games — and the Aggies have covered the point spread in 4 straight games against teams that are winning 51-60% of their contests. 10* CBB Thursday Late Show Bailout with the Texas A&M Aggies (752) minus the point(s) versus the Oklahoma Sooners (751). Best of luck for us — Frank.

THE SITUATION: The PGA Tour continues its Florida swing with the PLAYERS Championship at the TPC Sawgrass Stadium Course in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida. The so-called “fifth” major championship is a Par 72 event on a course consisting of 7352 yards. The challenges are numerous, with 92 bunkers and water impacting all but one of the holes. This is a Pete Dye-designed course — and his tracks tend to twist and turn to privilege ball-shaping versus pure distance. The overseeded rough reaches four inches. The fairways average 28 yards in width. The greens are TifEagle Bermuda grass overseeded with Poa trivialis. The smaller greens average 5500 square feet, which can measure off to 13 inches on the stimpmeter. This event features 121 professionals with the top 65 finishers plus ties after Round Two, making the cut for the fourth signature event on the PGA Tour.

BEST BET: Collin Morikawa (+1850 odds at DraftKings). Recommended Prop Bet: Morikawa (7003) versus Xander Schauffele (7004) in Tournament Matchup head-to-head props. This prop goes off the board at 8:40 AM ET.

Our Best Bet to win THE PLAYERS Championship is on Collin Morikawa, who is listed at +2050 odds to win this event at DraftKings. After a down season in 2025, Morikawa is back and playing with as much confidence as he has at any time in his career. Perhaps his switch to a mallet putter was the change he needed to make? He took first place (out of nowhere) at Pebble Beach last month. He followed that up with a tie for seventh place at The Genesis Invitational before his fifth-place results at the Arnold Palmer Invitational last week. He is one of just six professionals in the field who are outscoring the field by at least +1.5 strokes gained in Ball Striking per round with his +1.56 Shots-Gained: Ball Striker per round clip this year. He ranks third on the PGA Tour in 2026 in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green and fifth in Shots-Gained: Approach the Green. He also ranks eighth in the field for his career Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green numbers on Dye-designed courses. His game is a great fit for the Sawgrass Stadium Course. Since 2023, Morikawa has finished in the top 13 twice. And since 2018, every winner of THE Players Championship here had generated a +1.5 or better Strokes-Gained per round in Ball-Striking in the previous four months. 

Morikawa is linked with Xander Schauffele in Tournament Matchup head-to-head props. Despite his tie for third place last week at Bay Hill at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, Schauffele continues to struggle to regain his top-level form. Going into last week, in his last 36 rounds, he still only ranked 58th in Driving Accuracy and 51st in Bogey Avoidance. The fact remains that he has lost strokes versus the field in at least one of the Shots-Gained metrics in every tournament this season, except for The Genesis Invitational. Schauffele may still be rusty for this event after taking four months off before making his debut on the PGA Tour at the Farmers Insurance Open, where he missed the cut in his first competitive event in almost four months. His 72 straight tournament weekend streak was snapped with that finish. We faded Schauffele at Torrey Pines in a Round One prop in what was his latest debut on the tour for a new calendar year in his career. We faded him again two weeks ago at the PGA WM Phoenix Open when he finished in a tie for 41st place. He did play better in Round Four that Sunday — but I still thought he was overvalued last week, considering he has finished outside the top 54 in his two professional trips to Pebble Beach. He finished in a tie for 19th place, which was a personal best — but we still won our prop bet head-to-head on Hideki Matsuyama versus him. With his made-cut streak now gone, he may be playing the long game and working on some things with the ambition of peaking at the Masters. Right now, he has admitted that he is tinkering with his equipment. Frankly, he has not been as good since coming back from a rib injury last year that particularly impacted his Ball-Striking with his driver and irons. He ranks 59th in Shots-Gained: Approach the Green in 2026. He also ranks 95th in Shots-Gained: Around the Green, which presents a problem on this golf course when considering all bunkers. The books don’t offer scrubs in their props when we want to target a pro in great form like Morikawa. But I remain confident in this head-to-head this week, considering that Schauffele has not finished better than a tie for 8th place in his seven professional appearances at TPC Sawgrass — including three missed cuts and a tie for 72nd place on his resume. Take Morikawa (7003) versus Schauffele (7004) in Tournament Matchup head-to-head props. Best of luck for us — Frank.

Money Management advice: I like to consider the three "to win" prop bets as lottery tickets. If your typical bet is X, then I am fine if you wager 10-30% of X into each golfer to win — just be consistent with that method from week-to-week. I am also fine if you are more ambitious with these bets and wager up to X on each golfer-per-week. Over the course of the season, we have been profitable -- so I preach consistency with the investments each week. I am also OK with a slow uptick in the initial investment if the bankroll warrants -- maybe go from 20% of X to 25%.  For the head-to-head prop bets, treat them as either 10* or 20* bets (if you choose to invest in them) -- and stay consistent from week-to-week.