Sean Murphy Sean Murphy
Sean delivered a 3-1 card last night (incl. free), keyed by an easy wire-to-wire CFB big ticket winner with San Jose State! He extends his 38-15 CFB totals run and 245-195 CFB tear with a MASSIVE Saturday card!
10* CFB BEST BET BLOWOUT WINNER [245-195 RUN]

Off an easy wire-to-wire winner with San Jose State last night and riding a STELLAR 245-195 CFB run, Sean is stepping up to his 10* TOP RATING for a college football BLOWOUT in the making on Saturday! Don't even consider making a move on the college football board before checking in with Murph first!

*This package includes 1 NCAA-F Spread pick

CFB SATURDAY LATE NIGHT BAILOUT [245-195 RUN]

Riding an INCREDIBLE 245-195 CFB run, Sean has one more winner ready to go in late night college football action on Saturday! Don't even consider missing out as Murph isolates a super side backed by an AWESOME 12-3 winning angle! Hop on board now - before the line moves!

*This package includes 1 NCAA-F Spread pick

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**Top 10 CFB handicapper in 2019**

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FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 16, 2021
Akron vs. Miami-OH
Miami-OH
-19½ -106
  at  PINNACLE
started

Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on Miami-Ohio minus the points over Akron at 2:30 pm et on Saturday.

Akron is coming off an upset win over Bowling Green on the road last week as it put up 35 points thanks in large part to a whopping five Eagles turnovers. I don't expect the Zips to be so fortunate against a rather conservative Miami-Ohio offense that is led by two experienced quarterbacks in A.J. Mayer and Brett Gabbert (who may not play due to injury). This is a big spot back home for the Redhawks as they come off a disappointing one-point loss on the road against Eastern Michigan last week. Don't be fooled by their ugly 1-4 overall record as they opened the season with a tough three-game road slate against Cincinnati, Minnesota and Army. In their lone previous game here at Yager Stadium they delivered a convincing 28-17 win over Central Michigan as 2.5-point underdogs. This matchup was no contest last year as Miami-Ohio rolled to a 38-7 victory away from home. Note that Akron has gone a miserable 3-13 ATS from October on over the last two-plus seasons while Miami-Ohio checks in a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last six home games after the month of September over the same stretch. Take Miami-Ohio.

Already 2-1 in CFB action this week and riding a STELLAR 245-195 CFB run, Sean absolutely LOVES the Saturday college football board! Join Murph as he isolates a full lineup of college winners, keyed by a big ticket release! Your best bet is a weekly or monthly subscription package, giving you access to ALL of Murph's winners across all sports every day!

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Oct 15, 2021
Wild vs Ducks
Wild
-156 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Free

Friday NHL Free play. My selection is on Minnesota over Anaheim at 10:05 pm et on Friday.

The Ducks got their season off to a terrific start with a 4-1 win over the Jets two nights ago. I suspect they'll find the going much tougher against the Wild on Friday, however. note that Anaheim checks in a miserable 12-34 when coming off a win over the last three seasons, outscored by 1.1 goals on average in that situation. The Ducks are also averaging a miserable 2.1 goals when playing at home after scoring four goals or more in their last game over the last two seasons. The Wild will be making their season debut off an encouraging campaign that saw them go 35-16-5. Look for them to get this season off to a positive start as well. Take Minnesota.

Sean is already off to a WINNING start in NHL action this season and puts his AWESOME 194-137 (+$2.8K) NHL run to the test on Friday night! Your best bet is a weekly or monthly subscription package, giving you access to ALL of Murph's winners every day!

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Oct 15, 2021
Canucks vs Flyers
Flyers
-145 at Mirage
Lost
$145.0
Play Type: Premium

My selection is on Philadelphia over Vancouver at 7:05 pm et on Friday.

There will be spots to fade the Flyers early in this season but I firmly believe those will come in situations where backup goaltender Martin Jones gets the call between the pipes. Here in their home opener, we can expect Carter Hart in goal, noting that he's looking to bounce back from an inexplicably awful season and ready to build on a strong preseason that saw him start two games, allowing just two goals on 43 shots. I'm high on the Flyers in general. They added to their depth with some savvy moves in the offseason, including adding Cam Atkinson. They also have plenty of young players ready to take another step forward this year, most notably Travis Konecny (he only seems like he's been in the league forever) and Joel Farabee. The Canucks managed to earn a point in a shootout loss to the Oilers two nights ago but their potential lack of scoring punch was evident as they found the back of the net only twice on 38 shots. While I do think Vancouver can be a playoff contender this season, this is a tough six-game season-opening road trip that takes it all over the map. Take Philadelphia (5*).

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Oct 15, 2021
Red Sox vs Astros
OVER 8 -120 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Houston at 8:05 pm et on Friday.

We saw a classic pitching duel between the Dodgers and Giants last night but I expect nothing of the sort as the Red Sox and Astros open the ALCS on Friday. Chris Sale certainly isn't the same pitcher he once was and isn't likely to work deep into the game for Boston in the series-opener. He was chased after allowing five earned runs in just an inning of work against Tampa Bay last round. His 10 starts this season have totaled 18, 6, 14, 5, 21, 8, 17, 6, 12 and 20 runs...you get the picture. Astros starter Framber Valdez faced the Red Sox twice during the regular season with those two outings coming over a six-day stretch in early June. Boston wasn't hitting very well at all at that stage of the season. It's a different story now as it enters this series having scored 26 runs in its last three games. Valdez has made six starts since the beginning of September with those games totaling 12, 15, 10, 3, 14 and 13 runs. Note that the 'over' has gone 22-8 with the Astros coming off a game in which they allowed one run or less this season, producing an average total of 10.5 runs in that situation. Take the over (6*).

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 15, 2021
San Diego State vs San Jose State
San Jose State
+8 -106 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

Mountain West Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on San Jose State plus the points over San Diego State at 10:30 pm et on Friday.

While San Jose State hasn't gotten off to the start it hoped for this season, due in part to losing QB Nick Starkel to injury, everything is still in front of the Spartans. I still see a path to seven victories and a Bowl game but the turnaround has to start here against San Diego State on Friday night. Keep in mind, the Spartans upset the Aztecs as a double-digit road underdog in last year's matchup between these two teams. While San Jose State hasn't played as well as it did during that magical 2020 campaign, I still believe it can hang with an Aztecs squad that also isn't without its flaws. San Diego State rolled to a 31-7 victory over New Mexico last Saturday, improving to a perfect 5-0 on the season. The Spartans certainly know what to expect when it comes to the Aztecs offense. San Diego State will lean heavily on its two-headed monster in the backfield, Greg and Chance Bell. If there's one area where the Spartans defense has been stout, it's against the run as they've limited opponents to just 3.8 yards per rush this season. With a still unproven QB in Jordon Brookshire, who has been banged-up for most of the season, the Aztecs aerial attack isn't all that imposing. It remains to be seen whether San Jose State QB Starkel can return for this game. Even if he can't, I do expect Nick Nash to perform better than he did in last week's road game against Colorado State. Nash has had enough playing time going back to last season to settle into the offense a little bit and is more of a dual threat than Starkel. Consider San Diego State's defense has feasted on the likes of New Mexico State, Arizona, Towson and New Mexico this season. In its only real test it allowed 31 points in a narrow two-point win over Utah. San Jose State, meanwhile, has only had two home games, scoring a whopping 82 points in those two contests, albeit against weaker opposition. Take San Jose State (10*).

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Oct 16, 2021
Coyotes vs Sabres
OVER 5½ -111 Lost
$111.0
Play Type: Premium

My selection is on the 'over' between Arizona and Buffalo at 1:05 pm et on Saturday.

I'll keep my analysis brief with puck drop going shortly in Buffalo. Arizona will give Karel Vejmelka his first NHL start in goal while the Sabres go with Dustin Tokarski. Of course, the Yotes were involved in a wild 8-2 loss in Columbus two nights ago while Buffalo rolled to a blowout win over the Habs. Expect plenty of goals in this one as well, even with both teams fairly short on scoring depth up front. Take the over (5*).

Matchup Selection W/L
CFL  |  Oct 16, 2021
Montreal vs Ottawa
Montreal
-5½ -107 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium

My selection is on Montreal minus the points over Ottawa at 4 pm et on Saturday.

We won with the RedBlacks in this same matchup on Monday but I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the Alouettes in Saturday's rematch in Ottawa. Montreal jumped out to a quick 7-0 lead less than three minutes into Monday's contest. I think at that point the Als thought the game was going to be a cake-walk. It wasn't. Ottawa battled but ultimately fell short once again, dropping to 2-7 on the season. Note that the RedBlacks didn't score a single touchdown in that loss. In fact, you would have to go back nine quarters to find the last time Ottawa registered an offensive touchdown. Defense is where I expect the RedBlacks to struggle in this one, noting that they'll be without a pair of key defenders due to injuries in Avery Williams and Praise Martin-Oguike. Williams has been one of the team's top tacklers all season while Martin-Oguike has led their limited pass rush. For Montreal, all indications are that QB Vernon Adams Jr. will be good to go after leaving Monday's game with a shoulder injury. The Als will also welcome back RB William Stanback after he missed Monday's contest. Take Montreal (10*).

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 16, 2021
Duke vs Virginia
OVER 69½ -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

My selection is on the 'over' between Duke and Virginia at 12:30 pm et on Saturday.

The fact that the 'under' has cashed in Duke's last two games and each of Virginia's last three contests is the only thing keeping this number even reasonably in check on Saturday. I realize we're working with a lofty total still, but I do think it could be even higher. Duke's defense lacks the talent and experience to slow anyone down. Sure, the Blue Devils held FCS squad North Carolina A&T and a punchless Northwestern offense down earlier in the season but since then they've been flamed for 33, 38 and 31 points in games against Kansas, North Carolina and Georgia Tech. Things certainly don't get any easier against a Virginia offense that likes to bomb away, having attempted 40+ passes in five straight games and 57 or more in three of its last four contests. Back to Duke, its offense looks poised for a breakout here with QB Gunnar Holmberg settling in and throwing for touchdown passes in four straight games, topping the 290-yard mark three times over that stretch. He remains a threat to run as well, noting that he scored four rushing touchdowns in a game against Kansas back in late September. We've also seen RB Mataeo Durant emerge as a home run threat out of the backfield, running for over 100 yards in five of six games and north of 150 yards on two occasions this season. Virginia can't help but get involved in shootouts on a weekly basis as it allows 5.2 yards per rush and 8.1 yards per pass attempt. Were it not for nine turnovers in its last five games, Virginia's offense would have posted monster numbers this season. As it is, the Cavaliers are still stuffing the boxscore, racking up over 400 passing yards in four of their last five games. Note that the Blue Devils haven't had a lick of success against the pass this season, allowing 431 pass yards per game on a whopping 8.8 yards per pass attempt. Take the over (9*).

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 16, 2021
BYU vs Baylor
UNDER 51½ -110
Play Type: Top Premium

CFB Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between BYU and Baylor at 3:30 pm et on Saturday.

Baylor has had a couple of offensive explosions this season, including a 45-point outburst against West Virginia last Saturday (we won with the Bears in that game). However, while known for their offense, I believe the Bears strength lies on the defensive side of the football this season. Don't count on another boxscore-stuffing game from the Baylor offense here as it faces a good BYU defense coming off a tough 26-17 loss against Boise State last week. Credit the Cougars defense for holding up well in that game despite being dealt a tough hand with the offense turning the football over four times in the loss. With that in mind, we can anticipate a more conservative offensive approach from BYU here, especially considering the ball-hawking nature of the Bears defense (they've forced at least one turnover in all six games this season). Note that the Cougars have yet to top 22 pass completions in a game this season. They posted a season-high 37 pass attempts in last week's game against Boise, but that had everything to do with game script. I'm confident we'll see them rely heavily on the run as they try to effectively shorten this game as a substantial underdog in Waco. Baylor boasts a shutdown pass defense of sorts, allowing just 6.1 yards per pass attempt and no more than 24 pass completions in any of its six games this season. Take the under (10*).

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 16, 2021
Akron vs Miami-OH
UNDER 51 -110
Play Type: Top Premium

MAC Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Akron and Miami-Ohio at 2:30 pm et on Saturday.

Akron managed to score 35 points in last week's upset win over Bowling Green, on the road no less, but don't count on a similar story unfolding this week as the Zips head to Yager Stadium to take on the Redhawks of Miami-Ohio. It's worth noting that the Zips scored those 35 points thanks in large part to an awful Bowling Green squad turning over the football on five occasions. Last week actually marked the second time Akron managed to score 35 points this season but the other occurrence came against an FCS opponent, Bryant, back in mid-September. Outside of those two performances, the Zips have managed to score more than 17 points just once this season, that coming against an awful Temple defense in a blowout loss. Defensively, the Zips haven't been as bad as we've seen in recent years, particularly against the run. The longest rush they allowed in blowout losses against powerhouse opponents Auburn and Ohio State (both games were played on the road) went for 'just' 37 yards. It's not as if teams have been bombing away on them either. Only Ohio State managed to pass for more than 300 yards against the Zips and no opponent has topped 22 pass completions (I realize game script has had a lot to do with that as most of Akron's opponents have been nursing big leads). My point is, Akron does boast a better, more experienced defense than we've been accustomed to seeing in recent years and there's reason to believe it can at least keep a struggling Redhawks offense in check on Saturday. Miami-Ohio has topped out at 28 points in a game this season as it continues to have a tough time finding any sort of continuity at the quarterback position, or explosiveness out of the backfield. Here, I don't think the Redhawks will pay too much attention to earning 'style points' - they simply want to avoid falling to 1-2 in MAC play before playing their next two games on the road. As usual, Miami-Ohio has a terrific defense. You can't put too much stock in the Redhawks defensive numbers so far this season as they opened with a tough three-game slate on the road against Cincinnati, Minnesota and Army. Since opening MAC play they've held their two opponents to just 103 rushing yards on 60 attempts and 50-of-80 passing, allowing a grand total of only 30 points. Note that the 'under' checks in 17-3 the last 20 times the Redhawks have come off an upset loss as a favorite, leading to an average total of just 40.6 points scored in that situation. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 16-4 the last 20 times Akron has allowed 475 total yards per game over its last three contests, as is the case here. Take the under (10*).

SERVICE BIO

Sean Murphy made his professional debut as lead handicapper for Pat Miller Sports in 2003, continuing on with The Miller Group from 2006 through 2009.  Sean broke away to found his own sports service in September 2009 and has now delivered 12 of 17 winning NFL seasons.  Sean’s also cashed big in NCAA Football, as he’s won each of the last 3 seasons, recording wins with 57% of his overall bets.  A key factor in Sean’s success is his knack for Over/Unders, which is no surprise given Sean’s reputation as a ‘numbers guru.’  Indeed, Sean’s knack for handling numbers is deep-rooted.  He owns a business degree, with a major in finance, and is a member of the prestigious Beta Gamma Sigma honor society for business students and scholars.     Although Sean took a circuitous route to become a professional handicapper, sports betting has been a part of his life for as long as he can remember.  In fact, he still fondly recalls his first successful venture into sports betting – a winning three-game NFL ‘Pro-Line’ parlay (offered by the Canadian lottery) when he was just 12 years old.  Sean — along with the rest of his 7th grade class — was hooked.  His passion for sports is unmatched.  The phrase “find something you love to do and you’ll never ‘work’ a day in your life” is Murph's mantra.  Sean's love for numbers, combined with his passion for sports, makes a career in sports handicapping the perfect fit.     After building The Miller Group from the ground up, and turning it into one of America’s most respected handicapping services, Sean has continued to prosper as an independent, thanks to an honest approach and strong belief in delivering value to the customer.  Sean’s selections are based on his extensive knowledge of the game, and his approach is both situational and statistical.  He prides himself on going against the majority and thinking outside the box, and his unique analysis keeps his clients coming back.  When you purchase one of Sean’s selections, you can always count on insightful and expert information to back it up.  Sean rates all of his plays from 8* to 10* with free plays qualifying as 8* releases, and the majority of his selections warranting a 10* designation.  As you would expect, the higher the rating, the stronger the play.