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Sean Murphy |
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Sean went 1-1 on Friday and is 61-44 over the L36 days and 92-59 since 4/15. Murph is off to a 55-42 (+$8.0K) start to the MLB season and is on a STELLAR 123-83 run on 10* plays across all sports! Join Saturday! |
FREE PICKS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Jun 03, 2023 Braves vs. Diamondbacks |
Braves -1½ -120 at CONSENSUS |
in 11h |
Saturday MLB Free play. My selection is on Atlanta -1.5 runs over Arizona at 10:10 pm et on Saturday. I think we'll see a 'slingshot effect' from the Braves offensively here as they look to bounce back from a rough stretch at the plate, and a 3-2 defeat at the hands of the D'Backs in the opener of this series last night. Atlanta has now scored just nine runs over its last four games, going 1-3 over that stretch. Note that the Braves are still averaging 5.0 runs per game this season and 5.2 runs per contest on the road. Spencer Strider will take the ball for Atlanta on Saturday. He's been close to as good as it gets as far as starters go this season, logging a 2.35 FIP and 0.99 WHIP. Strider has recorded double-digit strikeout totals in four of his last seven outings. His counterpart on Saturday will be Ryne Nelson. He's had an up-and-down start to the season and enters this outing with a 4.75 FIP and 1.44 WHIP. The Braves haven't seen Nelson before but neither had the Rockies before they lit him up for five earned runs on eight hits over just five innings in his most recent start. The bullpen matchup is fairly even but I'm confident the Braves can inflict enough damage at the dish to ultimately win this one handily. Take Atlanta -1.5 runs. |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Jun 02, 2023 Guardians vs Twins |
Twins -127 at BetVegas |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Free | ||
Friday MLB Free play. My selection is on Minnesota over Cleveland at 8:10 pm et on Friday. The Twins rallied to take last night's series-opener by a 7-6 score and I look for them to deliver another win on Friday. Aaron Civale will return to the Guardians rotation after an extended stint on the injured list. He pitched well in two starts back in early April but didn't look particularly strong in three rehab starts at the Triple-A level, recording a 4.91 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. Note that Cleveland has won just three of Civale's previous eight starts against the Twins. Bailey Ober will counter for Minnesota. He's come up empty in his last two trips to the hill. Still, he has recorded a 3.24 FIP and 1.02 WHIP on the season. In his last two outings against the Guardians, including one back on May 5th, he has logged 12 innings without allowing a single earned run. Both bullpens have been terrific this season so no real advantage in that department but we'll support the Twins at a reasonable price here. Take Minnesota. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Jun 02, 2023 Yankees vs Dodgers |
Dodgers -136 at linepros |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
Interleague Game of the Week. My selection is on Los Angeles over New York at 10:10 pm et on Friday. The Dodgers dropped their most recent contest in Washington but I look for them to rebound in Friday's series-opener against the Yankees. New York will give the start to Luis Severino. He checks in sporting a sparkling 1.59 ERA in two starts, spanning 11 1/3 innings. He hasn't been quite as sharp as that number indicates, however, as he has recorded a 3.73 FIP. In two minor league rehab outings, Severino logged a 4.05 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 6 2/3 innings. Clayton Kershaw will counter for Los Angeles. He'll be looking to bounce back after a string of rough outings but still owns a 3.42 FIP and 1.14 WHIP in 11 outings spanning 62 1/3 innings this season. He'll be making his second straight on a full five days' rest. The Yankees bullpen appears to have the edge although it is worth noting that the Dodgers bullpen has been significantly stronger at home than on the road, logging a collective 3.14 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Jun 02, 2023 Mariners vs Rangers |
Mariners -113 at circa |
Lost $113.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My selection is on Seattle over Texas at 8:05 pm et on Friday. Both of these teams enjoyed a day off yesterday but will be back at it for the start of this three-game divisional series on Friday. The Mariners will hand the ball to Luis Castillo. He checks in sporting a 2.93 FIP and 0.99 WHIP this season. Over his last two outings he's tossed 12 shutout innings, striking out 18 and walking only four along the way. Jon Gray will counter for Texas. He checks in sporting a 2.81 ERA but I don't think he's been quite as good as that ERA indicates, recording a 4.64 FIP in 10 starts, spanning 57 2/3 innings of work this season. There's no question Gray has been terrific over his last seven outings but I do think he's running out of real estate in his current five-start undefeated streak. Prior to that he owned a 1-11 team record over his last 12 outings. The two bullpens are virtually a wash, although it is worth noting that Texas has had a bit of a tough time closing out games this season, converting 10 saves but also blowing eight. Take Seattle (8*). |
SERVICE BIO |
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Sean Murphy made his professional debut as lead handicapper for Pat Miller Sports in 2003, continuing on with The Miller Group from 2006 through 2009. Sean broke away to found his own sports service in September 2009 and has now delivered 12 of 17 winning NFL seasons. Sean’s also cashed big in NCAA Football, as he’s won each of the last 3 seasons, recording wins with 57% of his overall bets. A key factor in Sean’s success is his knack for Over/Unders, which is no surprise given Sean’s reputation as a ‘numbers guru.’ Indeed, Sean’s knack for handling numbers is deep-rooted. He owns a business degree, with a major in finance, and is a member of the prestigious Beta Gamma Sigma honor society for business students and scholars. Although Sean took a circuitous route to become a professional handicapper, sports betting has been a part of his life for as long as he can remember. In fact, he still fondly recalls his first successful venture into sports betting – a winning three-game NFL ‘Pro-Line’ parlay (offered by the Canadian lottery) when he was just 12 years old. Sean — along with the rest of his 7th grade class — was hooked. His passion for sports is unmatched. The phrase “find something you love to do and you’ll never ‘work’ a day in your life” is Murph's mantra. Sean's love for numbers, combined with his passion for sports, makes a career in sports handicapping the perfect fit. After building The Miller Group from the ground up, and turning it into one of America’s most respected handicapping services, Sean has continued to prosper as an independent, thanks to an honest approach and strong belief in delivering value to the customer. Sean’s selections are based on his extensive knowledge of the game, and his approach is both situational and statistical. He prides himself on going against the majority and thinking outside the box, and his unique analysis keeps his clients coming back. When you purchase one of Sean’s selections, you can always count on insightful and expert information to back it up. Sean rates all of his plays from 8* to 10* with free plays qualifying as 8* releases, and the majority of his selections warranting a 10* designation. As you would expect, the higher the rating, the stronger the play. |