Pacers played last night and are now on tired legs. Indiana 7-0 OVER  with no rest vs conference opposition and that will Im betting once again be the case tonight. Over is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day.

Meanwhile, Orlando dominated the NBA-leading Boston Celtics on Monday, 113-98, behind a balanced offensive effort and stifling defensive performance and now in a regressionary state will find it hard to muster up as much physicality as last time which Im betting results in mucho chances for their opposition in transition. Over is 6-0 in Magic last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.

Over is 9-1 in Magic last 10 games following a ATS win.Over is 6-1 in Magic last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.INDIANA is 18-5 OVER in road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 241 ppg scored in those 23 tilts. 

INDIANA is 27-14 OVER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 239.2 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ORLANDO) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 47-18 OVER L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Play over 

Pelicans are struggling but their opponents have a way of falling apart against lower tier teams or those that are not at the top of their game as is evident by recent losses to Houston and Detroit. I know the Pelicans played last night but they are a well conditioned group and now in desperation mode at home and  Im betting will come up with a strong covering effort as short favs.  Green is 26-13 ATS  after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games 4-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate .

NBA Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 13-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

 The Nuggets have been playing top tier hoops in the NBA since early December. Denver has won 20 of 24 to move within a half-game of Boston for the best record in the NBA and deserve respect here as underdogs.Meanwhile,  the Bucks are coming off a 150-point performance in a win at Detroit on Monday night and now go into a natural regressionary state at an inopportune time as the streaking Nuggets come to town. Note: Nuggets won last night 99-98 , -  Denver is  6-1 ATS  on the road with no rest vs non-conference opposition. 

Nuggets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Bucks are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 9-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate.

NBA Underdogs (DENVER) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 29-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

Denver has won and covered the L/2 meetings in Denver. – Series visitor 4-0 L4 ATS. 

Play on Denver to cover 

The Lakers are off a rivalry game agains the LA Clippers last night that ended in a DD loss  and are on tired legs vs a Greg Popovich group that triple revenge on board vs LAL .Spurs head coach Greg Popovich is 8-0 ATS in his last eight opportunities when seeking same-season triple revenge.LA LAKERS are 3-11 ATS   after a loss by 10 points or more this season.

Play on San Antonio Spurs to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Auburn’s 28-game home win streak is the longest in the nation and Im betting it continues tonight against Texas A&M as the home side has revenge for a loss they suffered in the SEC tourney last season. Note: Auburn has cashed 8 of their L/9 ATS revenge scenarios from a SEC tourney defeat. Tigers  beat Texas A&M at home last season 75-58 .

AUBURN is 9-2 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Auburn to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Lehigh has won 6 straight games and enter this tilt with momentum. According to my power rankings the Mountain Hawks matchup well here.  The Mountain Hawks claimed the first meeting inside Stabler Arena on Jan. 11 (76-58) and are a viable short fav to earn the season sweep of the Crusaders.Lehigh had won four straight matchups before falling to the Crusaders last year in the Hart Center on Jan. 28, 2022 (67-65) to split the season series a year ago.LEHIGH is 7-1 ATS  against conference opponents this season.LEHIGH is 7-0 ATS  versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season after 15+games over the last 2 seasons.LEHIGH is 6-0 ATS   versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games this season. 

Play on Lehigh to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Temple upset Houston last time out, and now Im expecting Houston to be in full blown redemption mode , and to open up their offense in more aggressive fashion after a grinding 56-55 defeat. This will force a capable UCF offense into opening up or be blown off the court. When these teams met back in the end of the December the Cougars took a 71-65 victory and a rinse and repeat type of offensive output by both sides is expected 

Sampson is 12-4 OVER  in a road game where the total is 129.5 or less as the coach of HOUSTON with a combined average of 133.4 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less (HOUSTON) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 39-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 133.2 ppg scored.

CFB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (UCF) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 39-13 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 133.5 ppg scored.

Play over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections make this total closer to 141 giving us a full 2 possession value to the over  on the current offering.

Ben is 8-1 OVER  in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 141.9 ppg scored.Ben is 8-1 OVER  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 142.6 ppg scored.MINNESOTA is 11-2 OVER  in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 142.8 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (INDIANA) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a bad team (20% to 40%) are 33-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (INDIANA) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record are 51-18 OVER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over