Alex Smart Alex Smart
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Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  Jul 01, 2022
Aces vs Lynx
+4½ -110 at Mirage
Play Type: Premium

No comment

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 01, 2022
Angels vs Astros
-157 at linepros
Play Type: Premium

Lorenzen is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA in three career appearances (one start) against the Astros. In his second career start with the Angels, he allowed four runs on four hits and two walks with two strikeouts over 3 1/3 innings in an 8-3 road loss to the Astros on April 18 and Im betting the Astros get to him again.

JAVIER is 2-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 0.843.

LA ANGELS are 6-19  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season. LA ANGELS are 5-18 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.

HOUSTON is 33-14  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season. 

HOUSTON is 41-18 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season.

Play on the Houston Astros to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 01, 2022
Cardinals vs Phillies
+132 at linepros
Play Type: Premium

The Phillies offense is hitting on all cylinders right now and scored 15 runs yesterday and in their current form must be respected against all teams and their pitchers making them a viable underdog investment option. 

PHILADELPHIA is 11-2  against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more this season.

Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 games following an off day.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season, after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 29-13 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate.

Play on the Phillies to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 01, 2022
Orioles vs Twins
+196 at linepros
Play Type: Premium

Orioles right-hander Spenser Watkins (1-1, 5.14 ERA) Im betting could  notch back-to-back victories after beating the Chicago White Sox in his most recent outing. He gave up one unearned run on five hits in five innings and has momentum entering this game and will keep his team in this tilt and give us an opportunity to cash a nice underdog ticket. 

BALTIMORE is 6-0 against the money line after a loss by 6 runs or more this season- ( lost to Seattle 9-3 L/time out)

Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League Central.

MLB team (MINNESOTA) - off 2 consecutive close losses by 2 runs or less to a division rival, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 10-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate.

Play on Baltimore Orioles to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 01, 2022
Rangers vs Mets
-185 at circa
Play Type: Premium

 NY Mets BASSITT is 18-2 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BASSITT is 12-1  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BASSITT is 31-10 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

 Rangers are 1-7 in their last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Mets are 20-6 in their last 26 during game 1 of a series. Mets are 13-4 in their last 17 home games.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (TEXAS) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors against opponent after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 3 -38 L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate with a rpg diff of -3.5 rpg. 

Play on NY Mets to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 01, 2022
Rays vs Blue Jays
+136 at SC Consensus
Play Type: Premium

Blue Jays starter BERRIOS is 9-17  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) In five career starts against Tampa Bay, Berrios is 0-3 with a 5.76 ERA.

Tampa Bays starter Kluber has pitched well of late and owns a 2.08 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and gives the Rays the edge they need here in game 2 of this series.

TAMPA BAY is 27-8  against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings over the last 2 seasons.

MLB favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +115 to +160) (TORONTO) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60 or less, WHIP 1.300 or less -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 64-13 L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60 or less, WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 27-50 L/25 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tampa Bay Rays to win 


Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 22 years.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigious event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.    

I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.