Alex Smart Alex Smart
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Alex Smart Sports- NBA Season Subscription-2023-24
**2014 NBA Champion!**
**4x Top 10 NBA handicapper!**

#4 ranked NBA handicapper this season!

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Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 19, 2024
Tigers vs Diamondbacks
+138 at YouWager
Play Type: Premium

This offering from the books has value attached to it, with the road dog. It must be noted that the Dbacks expected starter today, looks vulnerable. He has a 6.48 ERA in his L/3 starts, and 8.68 ERA in 3 home starts. That not a good omen fo a Dbacks side that has allowed 13 and 8 runs in the first two games of this series in losses. 

MONTGOMERY is 0-5  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)MONTGOMERY is 2-12  against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)MONTGOMERY is 1-9  against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Motowns starter Manning has seen his L/2 starts end in wins for his team vs the /Cards and the Marlins.Note: Arizona is just batting .226 vs righties like Manning this season averaging just 4.0 rpg. The Tigers bullpen has been a shut down machine on the road this season as is evident by a 2.08 ERA. Advantage Tigers. 

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 19, 2024
Rockies vs Giants
OVER 7½ -105 Lost
Play Type: Free

The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 52% ROI), thanks to a up-trending offense that was built to compete in the launching pad known as Coors Field  and a defense and pitching staff that remain optimally in the  lower echelon   performance spectrum. Colorado had their 7 game win streak abruptly come to end yesterday with a 10-5 loss.  The Rockies have averaged 6 rpg in the above mentioned 7 game span.

Colorado lost 10-5 yesterday: COLORADO  in their L/19 road games after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 9.9 rpg go on the board. 

 SAN FRANCISCO is 15-6 OVER against division opponents this season with a combined average 10.3 rpg scored in those 21 tilts

MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (COLORADO) - allowing 5.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after allowing 9 runs or more 2 straight games are 32-8 OVER L/27 seasons for q 80% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 10.5 rpg. 

Play over

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  May 19, 2024
Pacers vs Knicks
+3½ -105 at YouWager
Play Type: Premium

The Knicks will host the Pacers as they go head to head in  Game 7 Sunday afternoon, in the Big apple  when the two teams battle to advance to the conference finals against the Boston Celtics. Last time out the Pacers, the home team in that game  improved to 6-0 in the series. The Knicks being short handed because of injuries have been able to find help off the bench, but this group as looked surprisingly good at times despite of the personell problems and other times have looked gassed. With the that said, Ill be taking the points with the healthier visiting Pacers in todays battle, as the Knicks continue to be ravaged be key injuries as G Jalen Brunson is now also banged up and if he plays today will be less than 100%. 

QUOTE "It's going to take everything," said Pacers power forward Pascal Siakam, who won the NBA championship in 2019 with the Toronto Raptors. "A lot of crazy stuff is going to happen." END QUOTE.

Ya Im sure it will be a circus at MSG today, and I wont be surprised if this game goes down to the wire with the Pacers big shooters to bang down a late trey for a win and more importantly at cover.

Play on the Pacers to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  May 19, 2024
Wolves vs Nuggets
-4½ -115 at Ace
Play Type: Premium

The  Denver Nuggets and the  Minnesota Wolves meet for Game 7 of the Western Conference semifinal series in Denver on Sunday night with a trip to the conference finals the prize. In game 6 the Timberwolves destroyed  the Nuggets 115-70  this past Thursday night, Note: DENVER is 9-0 ATS  off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

Third-seeded Minnesota led by as many as 50 points in the above mentioned debacle. I now expect the defending Champs after being embarrassed to get back on the winning track with a bounce back effort of mammoth proportions as the Wolves will suffer regression while the Nuggets get back to championship form here at home behind what will be a energetic crowd. 

MINNESOTA is 14-29 ATS L/43 in road games off a home blowout win by 20 points or more.

-NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons  for a go against conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 19-48 ATS L/28 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival are 57-27 ATS L/28 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver 


Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 22 years.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigious event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.    

I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit).