Alex Smart |
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Testing 68-28 70% NBA Totals run that has made my dime players more than $36000 in bankroll expanding profits-plus 34-10 77% CFB side run that has made my dime players more than $23000 in bankroll expanding profits. |
FREE PICKS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NFL | Dec 08, 2024 Panthers vs. Eagles |
Panthers +13½ -108 at CONSENSUS |
in 9h |
This is the ugly Betty Game of the Week. Its a plug your nose and close your eyes, special. Panthers QB Bryce Young has looked effective in recent starts , as Carolina has covered their last two losses vs. the KC Chiefs as 10.5-point dogs and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as 6.5-point pups. It must be noted that late season DD home chalk like the Eagles are just 19-30-1 ATS L/50 opportunities versus same conference opposition. With Philly just 0-5 ATS as favs of 9 points or less and the visitor 3-0 ATS L/3 in this series Im betting the Eagles find the sledding tougher than expected. Note: I know their is this notion the Eagles are are at the top of their game right now after knocking of the Ravens last time out, but truth is they were out-gained by 120 plus yards and could easily be in a regressionary phase. Play on the Carolina Panthers |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Dec 07, 2024 Eastern Washington vs South Dakota State |
OVER 153½ -107 |
Lost $107.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Dec 07, 2024 Suns vs Heat |
Suns +6 -110 at linepros |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
This game marks the second and final regular-season faceoff between the Heat and Suns. These teams looked closely matched in the first meeting that the Suns won and Im betting on another close affair. Heat are coming off a very dominating performance last time out and now Im betting on regression. NBA home teams like the Heat coming off a game where they beat the point spread by 20 plus points are just 200-251-12 ATS dating back to 2018. Miami after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better are also 0-7 ATS L/7 overall. Miami as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points are just 6-21 ATS since 2023. The Suns have covered five straight ATS when visiting Miami. Play on Suns to cover |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Dec 07, 2024 Thunder vs Pelicans |
Thunder -8 -107 at BetVegas |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Thunder enter this game with momentum after dominating the Toronto Raptors on Thursday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams combined for 50 points in three quarters before they sat out the final frame. The Thunders big stars are fresh and ready to run and gun here this evening vs the Pelicans. The home side did end a 9 game win streak last time out, but Im betting on immediate regression vs a superior side that matches up well agains their system. Note: The Oklahoma City Thunder have put the Pelicans' season to sleep in two straight seasons. It was the No. 8 vs. No. 9 clash in the play-in tournament two years ago, and a four game sweep of the eighth seeded Pelicans a year ago. They own the Pelicans and have the advange even when star Ingram is at his best. NBA Road favorites like Oklahoma City - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 32-7 ATS since 2021 with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11 which qulaifies on this ATS offering by at least one possession. The Thunder have won 11 straight ATS when visiting New Orleans. Play on the Thunder |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Dec 07, 2024 Kentucky vs Gonzaga |
UNDER 167 -110 |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Dec 07, 2024 Utah Tech vs Utah State |
OVER 150½ -110 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Dec 07, 2024 Weber State vs North Dakota |
OVER 143 -110 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Dec 07, 2024 East Tennessee State vs Wichita State |
OVER 145½ -110 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Dec 07, 2024 USC vs Washington |
OVER 141 -110 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Dec 07, 2024 Grambling State vs Pepperdine |
OVER 138 -110 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Dec 07, 2024 Lehigh vs Dayton |
OVER 147 -105 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Dec 07, 2024 NC-Greensboro vs North Carolina A&T |
OVER 147½ -110 |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Dec 07, 2024 Clemson vs Miami-FL |
UNDER 147 -110 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Dec 07, 2024 Central Arkansas vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff |
OVER 152½ -110 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Dec 07, 2024 Stephen F Austin vs Texas A&M Corpus Christi |
Texas A&M Corpus Christi -2 -110 at SC Consensus |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Dec 07, 2024 Vermont vs Yale |
UNDER 136½ -109 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Dec 07, 2024 Villanova vs Temple |
Temple +10 -115 at linepros |
Lost $115.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Dec 07, 2024 Indiana State vs Missouri State |
Missouri State -4 -110 at YouWager |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Dec 07, 2024 Wofford vs Elon |
Elon -2 -110 at YouWager |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Dec 07, 2024 South Dakota vs Northern Arizona |
Northern Arizona +1½ -113 at linepros |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Dec 07, 2024 Texas-San Antonio vs Arkansas |
OVER 155 -110 |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-F | Dec 07, 2024 Clemson vs SMU |
Clemson +2½ -110 at YouWager |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Since their embarrassing defeat at the hands of Georgia in their first game of the season, Clemson has scratched and clawed their way back for shot at the ACC title. They go against a explosive SMU side that has been very dominating this season. However, the Mustangs lack of experience in this type of big game maybe daunting . Clemson has the pedigree and coaching to win this game outright , and are a perfect 7-0 SU in their L/7 ACC championship games.Dabo Swinney in December games has won 16 of his L/21 games . Play on Clemson to cover |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-F | Dec 07, 2024 Ohio vs Miami-OH |
OVER 44 -113 |
Lost $113.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Bobcats also have a top-30 red-zone TD% and is 20th in overall YPP. and has 32 TD in 44 red-zone trips. I know Miami O has a viable D, but the Bobcats according to my projections will be putting a decent amount of points on the board here today vs the RedHawks,. Meanwhile, Miami O QB Brett Gabbert, has six seasons under center and has gone to the air regularly this season as is evident by making the most pass attempts he’s had in a single campaign. He also has accumulated 10,000 career yards this season and has an 80/29 TD/INT ratio and also projects to have a decent day here.These two teams played during the regular season and Miami took a 30-20 victory and Im betting a combined score in the same vicinity here today. CFB teams like Ohio where the total is between 42.5 and 49 - good rushing team (190 to 230 RY/game) against a poor rushing team (100-140 RY/game) after 7+ games, after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game have seen a combined average score of 53.9 ppg since the 1992 season with a sample size of 35 games ( 29-6 OVER) . CFB team like Miami O against the total - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) have seen a combined average of 50.4 ppg which covers a huge sample size 300 gmes dating back to 2020 ( 60% of the games eclipsed the total). Play over |
SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |