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Alex Smart |
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Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything!Testing $37000.00 NBA Totals run and a 51-31 NBA side run! Plus 12-6 L/18 MLB conversion rate! |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 29, 2025 Angels vs Mariners |
Mariners -1½ +115 at Bovada |
Won $115 |
Play Type: Free | ||
This is a Halos team that is looking very vulnerable at the moment , after being swept by the Twins in their last series, and are now going against a Seattle team off a sweep of their last series. Angels starter Kochanowicz has a 6.20 ERA in four April starts and in his current form looks like cannon fodder. Ill take the value with a run line investment option. Play on Seattle to cover -1.5 |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 29, 2025 #Cardinals vs #Reds |
#Reds -129 at Heritage |
P |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Cardinals starting pitcher Miles Mikolas’ is 0-5 in his sub standard starts this season. and has garnered a 5.70 ERA and 3.4 walks per nine innings. His bullpen also wont be much help as they rank 25th in ERA in the league with a bloated 4.80 ERA . Meanwhile, Reds starting pitcher Brady Singer owns a reliable looking 3.62 ERA along with a solid 3.12 FIP and deserves respect here as chalk. The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.95 Units / 31% ROI) The St. Louis Cardinals have only hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 14 away games (-9.90 Units / -69% ROI) Play on the Reds to win |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Apr 29, 2025 Clippers vs Nuggets |
Clippers -1½ -110 at Draft Kings |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Denver pulled off a surprising victory Saturday to regain home-court advantage in its Western Conference quarterfinal series with the Los Angeles Clippers. Los Angeles, which won Game 2 in Denver now in a corner will be primed to bounce back. Im betting the lack of depth will be the Nuggets downfall in a series that is going to get very physical starting tonight. Note: The Nuggets' short bench is even shorter with Russell Westbrook out. Advantage Clippers. LA Clippers versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season are 14-1 ATS . The LA Clippers have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI) Denver in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots are 0-7 ATS L/7. NBA teams like the Clippers where the line is +3 to -3 - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7 or more, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are 25-7 ATS since 2021. Play on the Clippers to cover |
SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |