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Stephen Nover |
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I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst. |
| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| MLB | Apr 21, 2026 Astros vs. Guardians |
Astros +131 at CIRCA |
in 1h |
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Cleveland rookie lefty Parker Messick has been brilliant so far this season going 3-0 with a 1.05 ERA and 0.75 ratio in 25.2 innings. He took a no-hitter into the ninth inning in his last start this past Thursday in a 4-2 victory against the Orioles. Messick also threw a career high 112 pitches in that game. He had never reached 100 pitches before. Now he is pitching on only four days rest. The Astros are averaging 5.7 runs per game during their last four games. They rank fourth in slugging percentage and OPS versus lefties. Yordan Alvarez leads the majors in homers and is tied for first in RBIs. Houston is pitching Ryan Weiss, who had a 2.87 ERA with 207 strikeouts in 178.2 innings pitching last season in the KBO League, the top-level professional baseball league in South Korea. The Guardians rank 21st in runs and batting average. So this sets up as a promising spot for the underdog Astros. It also sets up well for an alternative wager of taking the Astros to score more than 3.5 runs thus taking Weiss and a bad Houston bullpen out of the equation. I am 5-2 on my premium/free baseball plays this season. My Tuesday card is headed by my NBA Game of the Week. I am 31-16 on my last 47 NBA premium/free plays after cashing with the underdogs Timberwolves last night as Minnesota beat Denver straight-up. |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Apr 20, 2026 Wolves vs Nuggets |
Wolves +7½ -105 at Bovada |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm looking for a more poised and smarter Timberwolves team than the one that showed up in this past Saturday's Game 1 playoff game. Minnesota built an early 12-point lead against Denver in that game. But the Timberwolves became frustrated with the Nuggets' huge free throw shooting advantage and ended up losing, 116-105. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Apr 20, 2026 Braves vs Nationals |
OVER 8 -115 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I find this total too low. The Braves are the second highest scoring team in the majors averaging 5.5 runs a game. They have the second highest batting average, too, and are fourth in home runs. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Apr 20, 2026 Flyers vs Penguins |
OVER 6 -115 |
Lost $115.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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The Penguins are strong home favorites here after being upset, 3-2, by the Flyers in Game 1. Pittsburgh has scored four or more goals in each of their last 15 victories. |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons. |




