Stephen Nover Stephen Nover

I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.

NBA Game of the Week - 31-16 (66%) NBA Hot Streak!

Fresh off a straight-up winner with the underdog Timberwolves on Monday night, Stephen Nover is now 31-16 on his last 47 NBA premium/free plays for 66 percent! Profits roll again as Stephen has found his NBA Game of the Week on the Tuesday menu. Keep cashing winners riding Stephen's long-time expertise, spot-on analysis and hot hand. 

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FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 21, 2026
Astros vs. Guardians
Astros
+131
  at  CIRCA
in 1h
Cleveland rookie lefty Parker Messick has been brilliant so far this season going 3-0 with a 1.05 ERA and 0.75 ratio in 25.2 innings. He took a no-hitter into the ninth inning in his last start this past Thursday in a 4-2 victory against the Orioles.

Messick also threw a career high 112 pitches in that game. He had never reached  100 pitches before. Now he is pitching on only four days rest. The Astros are averaging 5.7 runs per game during their last four games. They rank fourth in slugging percentage and OPS versus lefties. Yordan Alvarez leads the majors in homers and is tied for first in RBIs.

Houston is pitching Ryan Weiss, who had a 2.87 ERA with 207 strikeouts in 178.2 innings pitching last season in the KBO League, the top-level professional baseball league in South Korea.

The Guardians rank 21st in runs and batting average.  So this sets up as a promising spot for the underdog Astros. It also sets up well for an alternative wager of taking the Astros to score more than 3.5 runs thus taking Weiss and a bad Houston bullpen out of the equation.  I am 5-2 on my premium/free baseball plays this season. My Tuesday card is headed by my NBA Game of the Week. I am 31-16 on my last 47 NBA premium/free plays after cashing with the underdogs Timberwolves last night as Minnesota beat Denver straight-up.
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 20, 2026
Wolves vs Nuggets
Wolves
+7½ -105 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

I'm looking for a more poised and smarter Timberwolves team than the one that showed up in this past Saturday's Game 1 playoff game. Minnesota built an early 12-point lead against Denver in that game. But the Timberwolves became frustrated with the Nuggets' huge free throw shooting advantage and ended up losing, 116-105.

The Nuggets were 30 of 33 for 91% from the free-throw line. That was 14 more free throws than the Timberwolves had. Minnesota defended Jamal Murray well. But the referees gifted Murray 16 free throws - and he made all of them.

The Timberwolves know what they are up against here. I expect them to have more composure. They have the talent and playoff experience to hang within this point spread. 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 20, 2026
Braves vs Nationals
OVER 8 -115 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

I find this total too low. The Braves are the second highest scoring team in the majors averaging 5.5 runs a game. They have the second highest batting average, too, and are fourth in home runs.

Washington is pitching Jake Irvin, who has a 6.16 ERA after posting a 5.70 ERA last year. The Nationals' bullpen has a 5.37 ERA. Oh, yes, the Nationals also have committed the most errors.

The Nationals can hit, though. They rank third in runs and fourth in batting average.

This combination is why Washington has gone Over in 15 of its 22 games.

Braves starter, Bryce Elder, is off to a fantastic start. But let's not forget he had a 5.30 ERA last season. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Apr 20, 2026
Flyers vs Penguins
OVER 6 -115 Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Top Premium

The Penguins are strong home favorites here after being upset, 3-2, by the Flyers in Game 1. Pittsburgh has scored four or more goals in each of their last 15 victories.

Pittsburgh was the third highest scoring team in the NHL and ranked seventh on the power play. Sidney Crosby had 10 power-play goals.

The Flyers did an excellent job keeping the Penguins from sustaining constant pressure. But the Penguins are a veteran team with all-time greats. I see them making the adjustment at home and having a big scoring game. They have averaged 6.4 goals during their past five victories.

I don't trust Pittsburgh's goaltending, however. The Flyers are playing loose and with house money in this Game 2 after pulling the upset in Game 1.  

The Penguins have surrendered 19 goals in their last four games. The Flyers have reached at least three goals in each of their past six games. They are averaging 4.1 goals a game during this span.

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Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons.