*3 Star Play Over* The Dallas Cowboys rank 5th in the NFL in yards per play. They rank 6th in the NFL in DVOA on offense. Dak Prescott has been up and down this year, but he has a stellar group of receivers and two solid running backs. The 49ers secondary is arguably the worst secondary of any team in the NFL playoffs this year. Dallas should be able to take advantage of this unit.

San Francisco's offense has been good with Jimmy G under center this year. I think he is an underrated quarterback who does a good job spreading the ball around to his weapons. George Kittle is one of the most dangerous pass catchers in the NFL. The Cowboys are likely to have a hard time with him. 

Both of these defenses rank in the bottom half of the NFL in big plays allowed. 

This game is played in a dome and playoff games in a dome have been great for over bettors. How good? The last 43 games in a dome in the NFL postseason- 29 of them have gone over and only 14 have stayed under.

Take the over here. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Boston Celtics have been a very consistently slow paced team with low scoring games of late. Boston ranks second to last in the NBA in pace of play in their last 11 games. In those 11 games, Boston only has had three games go over this total in regulation (one stayed under even with an OT). 

The Celtics rank 6th in the NBA in defensive efficiency in their last 11 games. Boston ranks 19th in offensive efficiency in that period. 

New Orleans is 15th in the league in tempo in that period. They are middle of the pack in both offensive efficiency and defensive efficiency.

These MLK Day early games have stayed under the total at a high rate in the past decade. The earliest start time games in general have been good under wagers.

I think the tempo is slow here and barring very high offensive efficiency, I think this one stays under.

Take the under here. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Eastern Illinois Panthers have played 12 Division One games since November 12th. Zero of those games have gone over this posted total. 

Of course Eastern Illinois is going to have a game go over the total at some point moving forward, but I have to bet the under in this one. The Panthers offense is one of the worst in the entire country.

Murray State ranks 68th in the nation in defensive efficiency. The Racers have played the 82nd toughest schedule of offenses this year. Eastern Illinois is the worst offense they have played all year. 

Eastern Illinois has been held to 55 points or less in 8 straight Division One contests. They have been held to 50 points or less five times this year. 

Eastern Illinois still slows the pace down to an extreme. The Panthers are 320th in average possession length. Murray State plays at a slightly slower tempo than an average team in the country.

Take the under here.