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Jimmy Boyd |
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| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| NFLX | Aug 26, 2023 Dolphins vs. Jaguars |
Total 41 -110 at |
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1* Free Pick on Dolphins/Jaguars over All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models. |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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WNBA | Jun 05, 2026 Mercury vs Portland Fire |
Mercury +3½ -115 at Bovada |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Free | ||
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1* Free Pick on Mercury +3½ The opposition case is obvious. Kahleah Copper (18.2 PPG) is doubtful and Alyssa Thomas (15 PPG) is questionable, which is roughly 41% of Phoenix's scoring potentially walking out the door. That's the reason the Mercury are 3.5-point dogs at all. But the number has moved far enough that the value is back on the dog. Start with Portland. The Fire are 6-4 over their last 10 but the underlying numbers are ugly. Net rating of -1.7. Turnover rate of 21%, which is brutal. They give possessions away against good defenses and they're going to give them away tonight too. Portland's defensive rating sits at 107.6. That's not a number that justifies laying multiple possessions against any roster with a pulse. Carla Leite (15.2 PPG) and Bridget Carleton (14.7 PPG) lead a balanced attack, but balanced and dominant are different words. Phoenix still has functional offensive pieces if Thomas sits. Jovana Nogic is averaging 12 PPG and Monique Akoa Makani is at 11 PPG. Natasha Mack gives them 9.8 PPG and rim presence. That's not a championship roster, but it's enough to keep a game inside a field goal against a -1.7 net rating opponent. The trend angle cuts the other way. Phoenix is 1-6 ATS in their last 7, which is exactly why the line is here. Sharp money fades that kind of public overcorrection. I'll take the points. I like the Mercury |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jun 05, 2026 Nationals vs Diamondbacks |
UNDER 9½ -120 |
Lost $120.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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4* VEGAS INSIDER on Nationals/Diamondbacks: under 9½ The market has this total bouncing between 9 and 9.5, and the Under at -120 still has meat on the bone given how Arizona is swinging the bat right now. The Diamondbacks have scored 15 runs over their last six games. That's not a one-off slump, that's a lineup missing Carlos Santana (60-day IL), Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (10-day IL), and James McCann, with Ildemaro Vargas dinged up on top of it. The Under has cashed in 5 of Arizona's last 6. I know the counter. Diamondbacks starter Merrill Kelly looks cooked under the hood, a 5.06 ERA propped up by a 7.28 xERA.407 xwOBA and .588 xSLG against. That's the strongest case for the Over, and I'm not dismissing it. But Washington's lineup isn't built to punish that profile right now. James Wood is the only real threat in a group leaning on Nasim Nunez, Jacob Young, and Daylen Lile in the bottom half. Kelly's last three starts: 7 IP / 2 ER, 6 IP / 3 ER, 5.1 IP / 2 ER. The xStats say the regression is coming. It doesn't have to come tonight against this group. On the other side, Nats lefty Foster Griffin sits at 3.76 ERA with quiet road work, 6 IP shutout in Atlanta and 7 IP / 1 ER in Miami over his last month away from home. His xERA of 4.42 isn't pretty, but Arizona's depleted righty bats aren't the spot it shows up. Dome game, no weather variance, two offenses limping. Take the number before it moves to 9. I like the Under |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jun 05, 2026 Giants vs Cubs |
UNDER 11½ -115 |
Lost $115.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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5* NO BRAINER of the Month on Giants/Cubs: under 11½ An 11.5 total in a non-Coors environment is one of the highest numbers you'll see all season, and the market is pricing in the 11 MPH SW wind blowing out at Wrigley. I think they've overcorrected. Start with the Giants lineup. Heliot Ramos and Harrison Bader are both on the 10-day IL, gutting the outfield production. San Francisco is 25-38 for a reason. The replacement bats hitting 7-8-9 (Eldridge, Susac, Gilbert) aren't the guys you need to clear 6+ runs on the road. The Cubs side has its own problems. Edward Cabrera carries a 4.00 ERA against a Giants lineup that strikes out plenty, and he posted 8 Ks against the Reds on May 4. Wrigley shrinks the park, but Cabrera misses bats. The opposition's strongest point is Robbie Ray. His 5.19 xERA versus a 4.45 ERA screams regression, and the 11-hit, 9-run line against Arizona on May 18 is exactly the disaster scenario the over bettors want. I get it. But Ray also held the Pirates to 1 ER over 6 on May 8 and struck out 6 in 4 against Colorado last time out. The volatility cuts both ways, and you're getting a 12-run cushion. The weather angle that matters most isn't the wind. It's the 100% rain probability with light rain at first pitch. Wet baseballs and a heavy atmosphere kill carry. That's the piece the wind-only crowd is missing. 12 runs is a lot to ask. I like the Under |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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CFL | Jun 05, 2026 Winnipeg vs Calgary |
Winnipeg -120 at Bovada |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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5* NO BRAINER on Winnipeg -120 Winnipeg ML at -120 is a roster math bet. The Stampeders are walking into Week 1 missing the pieces that actually move the needle in a CFL opener. Start with Calgary's offense. Star receiver Reggie Begelton is on the six-game injured list, which is the single biggest production loss on either roster. Pair that with kicker Rene Paredes ruled out after 247 consecutive games, and a one-score game tilts hard against the home side. The defense took a hit too. Calgary's top pass rusher Folarin Orimolade is out with an Achilles injury, which matters because Winnipeg is debuting rookie center Tyler Elsbury. Take the best edge rusher off the board and that rookie's job gets considerably easier. Winnipeg also went shopping in the offseason. Zach Collaros has a new top target in Tim White and the league's top available tackle in Jarell Broxton, both signed to protect and feed a veteran QB under new OC Tommy Condell. That's a real upgrade, not a paper one. The opposition case is real. Calgary swept all three meetings in 2025, including two wins at McMahon, and Winnipeg went 0-2 in preseason while Calgary went 2-0. I'm not pretending that doesn't exist. But head-to-head trends from last year don't carry weight when both rosters have turned over and Calgary is missing its top receiver, kicker, and pass rusher in Week 1. Preseason results in the CFL are noise. At -120 with sharps already pushing this toward a Winnipeg favorite, the number is still live. I like the Winnipeg |
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PREMIUM PICK STREAKS |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Boyd is a former collegiate golfer and University of Iowa Law grad that ensures you success in every sport he covers. Jimmy's quality sports selections with game-breaking analysis make him a major force in the handicapping industry for years to come. No Brainer: This is one of Jimmy’s highest rated plays. After reading his write-up on the game you will see why this play’s title is so fitting. These picks are reserved for major mismatch advantages and strong value plays. Heavy Hitter: Jimmy’s Heavy Hitter plays are backed by a wealth of statistical analysis and fit into one or more of his many winning systems. This is the well-rounded gem of Jimmy’s top plays, and it covers games from every angle. Vegas Insider: Nobody spots a winning system like Jimmy Boyd. His Vegas Insider label is reserved for plays backed by the strongest systems and trends on the board. Bailout Blowout: There is no better way to end the day than picking up a big win on the final game of the evening. Jimmy’s Bailout Blowouts come on late games and they have built a strong reputation as being a consistent winner. All of Jimmy’s picks get monitored around the web. Jimmy is one of the very few handicappers that have actually earned the stripes to be regarded as a top Industry player. There are not many handicappers in the industry that can match his long term success rates. |
