NCAA-B :   Davidson vs. Dayton

Feb 28, 2020
final SIDE OU Score
Davidson 12 Over
142
67
Dayton -12 82
Free Picks
Brandon Lee
NCAA-B | Feb 28
Davidson vs Dayton
Dayton
-10.5-103   at   pinnacle
started

10* NCAAB FREE PICK (Dayton -10.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Flyers and lay the big number. This line has dropped some from the opening mark of 12. That could be viewed as a sign to take Davidson. I just think the Wildcats are a team that people thought was going to be a lot better than they are and because they have won 4 of 5 we are seeing some interest spark back up as a double-digit dog. 

There's just no way I would bet against Dayton in this spot. Flyers have won 17 straight overall and are 15-0 in A-10 play. They have made it pretty clear they want to go undefeated and there's talks now of them maybe getting a No. 1 seed. I think this team will be extremely motivated to show up and show out tonight. Game will be played on ESPN2 and with a weak Friday card they know a lot of eyes will be on this game. 

Davidson has not been a good road team. They are a mere 4-12 ATS away from home. They have just one cover in their last 5 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Dayton is 15-0 at home, outscoring opponents by 19.5 ppg (82.0 -62.5), and shoot 53% while allowing just 41%. So far they have won 6 of their 7 home conference games by double-digits. Give me the Flyers -10.5! 

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