Sean Murphy |
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Sean has been handicapping professionally since 2003 and at SportsCapping since 2016. Check out his track record for yourself and see why so many clients are putting his 20+ years of experience to work for them! |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | Apr 16, 2024 Hurricanes vs Blue Jackets |
Blue Jackets +240 at Ace |
Won $240 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My selection is on Columbus over Carolina at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. With the Rangers wrapping up top spot in the Eastern Conference (and the Metropolitan Division) last night, the Hurricanes will play a relatively meaningless game to wrap up their regular season on Tuesday in Columbus. The Blue Jackets limp in off an 0-4 road trip that began with a 3-0 loss to these same Canes in Raleigh. Columbus has definitely been a more competitive team at home lately, securing wins over the Golden Knights, Oilers, Penguins and Avalanche among others since the beginning of March. While I don't anticipate Carolina simply rolling over in its regular season finale, I do think the Jackets are well worth a shot at such a lofty price. While the Canes are 3-0 on their current road trip, they have lost close to four in every 10 games on the road this season. Take Columbus (8*). |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 16, 2024 Pirates vs Mets |
Pirates +120 at Ace |
Lost $100.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My selection is on Pittsburgh over New York at 7:10 pm et on Tuesday. Off last night's big rally, we'll fade the Mets on Tuesday as they send veteran Jose Quintana to the mound against Pirates rookie Jared Jones. The starting pitching matchup doesn't matter all that much to me in this spot but I will note that Jones has shown the ability to work relatively deep into ball games, lasting at least 5 2/3 innings in all three of his starts this season. Quintana on the other hand has topped out at 5 2/3 innings in his first three outings this year. The Pirates bullpen figures to be in better shape here as the Mets come off consecutive tightly-contested affairs (and have nearly doubled the Pirates bullpen innings pitched over the last week). Take Pittsburgh (8*). |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 16, 2024 Rockies vs Phillies |
Rockies +210 at Ace |
Lost $100.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My selection is on Colorado over Philadelphia at 6:40 pm et on Tuesday. I don't think the Phillies have any business being priced in this range with Ranger Suarez starting on Tuesday. The Rockies were right there with the Phils last night despite a no-show from their offense, ultimately dropping a 2-1 decision in extra innings. They'll hand the ball to Austin Gomber on Tuesday and while he's a prototypical back-of-the-rotation starter, the fact is he's been on the hill for two victories in his first three starts, once again illustrating that starting pitching matchups aren't the end-all and be-all when it comes to baseball handicapping. The price is right to take a flyer on the Rockies as they look to snap a three-game skid. Take Colorado (8*). |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 16, 2024 Braves vs Astros |
Braves -1½ +140 at Mirage |
Won $140 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My selection is on Atlanta -1.5 runs over Houston at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Braves were high on Reynaldo Lopez when they brought him over from the White Sox and perhaps for good reason. He's proven to be a useful cog in their injury-depleted starting rotation and I look for him to step up and give them another quality outing on Tuesday. It's a much different story for Astros starter Hunter Brown. He has all the tools to succeed but hasn't been able to put it together in his first season-plus at the big league level. He's been rocked over his last two outings and now faces the daunting task of trying to keep the Braves loaded lineup at bay. Behind Brown is an Astros bullpen that has been among the worst in baseball so far this season. It was only a matter of time before the Braves pulled away last night and I expect a similar story to unfold on Tuesday. Take Atlanta -1.5 runs (8*). |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 16, 2024 Cubs vs Diamondbacks |
Diamondbacks -1½ +164 at linepros |
Lost $100.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
National League Game of the Month. My selection is on Arizona -1.5 runs over Chicago at 9:40 pm et on Tuesday. The Cubs have now won three games in a row but I expect them to fall flat on Tuesday as they send Kyle Hendricks to the mound against Tommy Henry. This likely amounts to a bullpen game and in that case I'll favor the Diamondbacks based on the situation alone. Note that Chicago has been involved in four straight tightly-contested games in as many days, using many of its key bullpen arms. There's a good chance this one gets way from the Cubs, especially with Hendricks struggling (he's been one of the worst starters in baseball so far this season) in the early going. While I'm not overly high on Tommy Henry, I do think the attractive plus-money return laying the extra run with the D'Backs is too much to pass up, noting that seven of their eight wins this year have come by at least two runs including all six victories at home. Take Arizona -1.5 runs (10*). |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 16, 2024 Angels vs Rays |
Rays -145 at linepros |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Free | ||
Tuesday MLB Free play. My selection is on Tampa Bay over Los Angeles at 6:50 pm et on Tuesday. The Rays fell apart late in a 7-3 loss to open this series with the Angels last night in St. Petersburg. I fully expect Tampa Bay to answer back on Tuesday as it sends Aaron Civale to the hill against Jose Soriano. While Civale has recorded a FIP north of four so far this season, his WHIP remains under one. By all accounts, he's off to a fine start to the campaign with his new club and will be tasked with helping to right the ship following last night's loss. The Rays bats should play a big part in Tuesday's turnaround as they figure to tee off on Soriano. He has made three appearances this season and has posted a FIP north of six. The Angels bullpen held down the fort last night but entered that contest sporting a collective ERA north of five this season. The Rays 'pen hasn't been any better but at least has the ability to consistently close out games when leading with five saves converted and only one blown on the season. Take Tampa Bay. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Apr 16, 2024 Lakers vs Pelicans |
Pelicans PK -110 at circa |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
Play-in Tournament Game of the Year. My selection is on New Orleans over Los Angeles at 7:30 pm et on Tuesday. While the Pelicans were there in body they certainly weren't in spirit in Sunday's regular season ending 124-108 loss to these same Lakers. I expect a different story to unfold in Tuesday's 7 vs. 8 play-in tournament matchup. Neither team's back is against the wall, so to speak, in this contest as the one that loses will live to fight another day, against the winner of the 9 vs. 10 matchup between the Warriors and Kings. The Pelicans have enjoyed a terrific season and prior to Sunday's loss to the Lakers, had reeled off four straight wins - all coming on the road. I certainly anticipate them bouncing back here, noting they've gone 20-11 ATS in their last 31 games when seeking revenge for a double-digit home loss against an opponent, as is the case here, including a 9-3 ATS mark in that situation this season. The Lakers are 21-39 ATS in their last 60 contests following consecutive wins including a 9-15 ATS mark in that spot this season. Take New Orleans (10*). |
PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 17, 2024 Twins vs Orioles |
Twins -1½ +155 at Mirage |
Lost $100.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My selection is on Minnesota -1.5 runs over Baltimore at 1:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Orioles have elected to give Bruce Zimmermann the start on Wednesday as they look to wrap up a series sweep of the Twins. This is a starting pitching mismatch as Minnesota will hand the ball to its ace Pablo Lopez. We'll lay the extra run in this spot as the Twins are well-positioned to avoid the sweep in convincing fashion, noting their bullpen continues to pitch well having recorded a collective 2.37 ERA and 1.09 WHIP on the season. Take Minnesota -1.5 runs (8*). |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 17, 2024 Nationals vs Dodgers |
Nationals +226 at linepros |
Won $226 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My selection is on Washington over Los Angeles at 3:10 pm et on Wednesday. The Nationals were never going to have much of a shot at beating the Dodgers for a second straight game on Tuesday as they handed the ball to inning-eating batting practice pitcher Patrick Corbin. The Dodgers rolled in that contest. I expect a different story to unfold on Wednesday, however, as Washington sends Jake Irvin to the hill against Dodgers rookie Landon Knack. Irvin has been serviceable in the early going this season, logging a 4.01 FIP and 1.06 WHIP. Meanwhile, the Nats bullpen has held up well, recording a collective 3.26 ERA with six saves converted and three blown in the early going this season. With a win on Wednesday, Washington would wrap up a confidence-building 5-4 road trip. The Dodgers on the other hand are just 2-4 over their last six games, still setting into the long 162-game season. Take Washington (8*). |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 17, 2024 Yankees vs Blue Jays |
Yankees -1½ +155 at SC Consensus |
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Play Type: Top Premium | ||
A.L. East Game of the Week. My selection is on New York -1.5 runs over Toronto at 3:05 pm et on Wednesday. Kevin Gausman has been awful in his last two starts. In fact, he's been pretty bad going all the way back to last August save for a few starts. When things have gone south for the veteran right-hander it's been in spectacular fashion. Note that in Gausman's last seven team losses, the opposition has plated a whopping 51 runs. After dropping the first two games of this series, I look for the Yankees to rebound on Wednesday afternoon. Marcus Stroman will get the nod for New York. He's coming off a rocky outing of his own but still owns a respectable 3.42 FIP and 1.06 WHIP on the campaign. He'll of course be up for this matchup against his former team. The Jays bullpen has held up well in this series so far but I think it's only a matter of time before it gets blown up. We'll bet that today is the day. Take New York -1.5 runs (10*). |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 17, 2024 Cardinals vs A's |
A's +145 at Ace |
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Play Type: Premium | ||
My selection is on Oakland over St. Louis at 3:35 pm et on Wednesday. Steven Matz was spotted a 4-0 lead in the first inning in his most recent start against Arizona. The Cardinals would go on to blow a 6-0 lead in that game before rallying for a 9-6 victory. All of that to say, Matz has been anything but dominant through his first three starts this season, striking out only eight while allowing 17 hits in 15 innings of work. It's been a different story for A's starter Paul Blackburn. He has yet to give up an earned run in 19 1/3 innings this season. Meanwhile, the A's bullpen has been terrific in the early going. We'll back the A's as they look to avoid the series sweep on Wednesday. Take Oakland (8*). |
SERVICE BIO |
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Sean Murphy made his professional debut as lead handicapper for Pat Miller Sports in 2003, continuing on with The Miller Group from 2006 through 2009. Sean broke away to found his own sports service in September 2009 and has now delivered 12 of 17 winning NFL seasons. Sean’s also cashed big in NCAA Football, as he’s won each of the last 3 seasons, recording wins with 57% of his overall bets. A key factor in Sean’s success is his knack for Over/Unders, which is no surprise given Sean’s reputation as a ‘numbers guru.’ Indeed, Sean’s knack for handling numbers is deep-rooted. He owns a business degree, with a major in finance, and is a member of the prestigious Beta Gamma Sigma honor society for business students and scholars. Although Sean took a circuitous route to become a professional handicapper, sports betting has been a part of his life for as long as he can remember. In fact, he still fondly recalls his first successful venture into sports betting – a winning three-game NFL ‘Pro-Line’ parlay (offered by the Canadian lottery) when he was just 12 years old. Sean — along with the rest of his 7th grade class — was hooked. His passion for sports is unmatched. The phrase “find something you love to do and you’ll never ‘work’ a day in your life” is Murph's mantra. Sean's love for numbers, combined with his passion for sports, makes a career in sports handicapping the perfect fit. After building The Miller Group from the ground up, and turning it into one of America’s most respected handicapping services, Sean has continued to prosper as an independent, thanks to an honest approach and strong belief in delivering value to the customer. Sean’s selections are based on his extensive knowledge of the game, and his approach is both situational and statistical. He prides himself on going against the majority and thinking outside the box, and his unique analysis keeps his clients coming back. When you purchase one of Sean’s selections, you can always count on insightful and expert information to back it up. Sean rates all of his plays from 8* to 10* with free plays qualifying as 8* releases, and the majority of his selections warranting a 10* designation. As you would expect, the higher the rating, the stronger the play. |