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Alex Smart Sports- CFL Saturday Night Totals Smash- Ottawa @ Calgary

The Ottawa Red Black visit the Calgary Stampeders in opening week Canadian Football League action this Saturday night. Which side of the total will the combined score fall on ? Your 100% Guaranteed answer is locked and loaded and ready to make the books pay for taking our action. Kick off after 7 pm et

*This package includes 1 CFL Total pick

Alex Smart Sports- CFL Saturday Night Totals Crusher - Winnipeg @ BC

The Winnipeg Bombers visit the British Columbia Lions  in opening week Canadian Football League action this Saturday night. Which side of the total will the combined score fall on ? Your 100% Guaranteed answer is locked and loaded and ready to make the books pay for taking our action. Kick off after 10 pm et

*This package includes 1 CFL Total pick

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FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 15, 2019
Yankees vs. White Sox
White Sox
+136
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

New York pitching staff has  allowed at least five runs in each of the last seven games, going 2-5 in that span, and were blasted by a  10-2 count  on Friday . The White Sox have now on 5 of the L/6 meetings vs the NYY, and are my choice here tonight, with Lopez on the hill. My pitcher vs batting order power rankings also suggests the White Sox have the edge with Lopez. Note:Lopez  owned the Yankees batting order in two starts against New York last season, allowing a total of two runs and nine hits in 14 innings while striking out 12.

White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.White Sox are 9-2 in their last 11 home games.

Yankees are 3-8 in their last 11 overall.Yankees are 2-6 in their last 8 games on grass.Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  Jun 14, 2019
Liberty vs Aces
Liberty
+12 -110 at 5Dimes
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

New York (2-4) was finally able to halt a losing stretch that reached 17 games with an 88-78 home victory over Las Vegas on Sunday. (Vegas has lost 3 of their L/4)The Liberty held the Aces (2-3) to 35.4 percent shooting en route to their a win and followed that up with a victory vs Minnesota, and Im betting they are competitive here again, behind super star Tina Charles. 

LAS VEGAS is 0-6 ATS  in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons

Home favorites of 10 or more points (LAS VEGAS) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 30-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Liberty to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 14, 2019
Rangers vs Reds
UNDER 9½ -115 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Mahle the Reds starter was doing well during much of Friday's 4-2 loss to the Phillies. But he threw a curveball that Jay Bruce slugged for a critical two-run homer.  He has been stable for a while, and could easily give us a quality start here. He has pitched is best at home at Great American Ball Park, garnering a 2-0 record and 2.25 ERA in three starts. .Mahle is also 3-2 with a 3.00 ERA in five Interleague starts in his career. Texas will go to their bullpen, but because of a lack of turns against this AL pitching staff could have problems generating offence. 

CINCINNATI is 11-3 UNDER  vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg. CINCINNATI is 21-7 UNDER  vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season with a combined average of 6.9 rpg. CINCINNATI is 25-8 UNDER  vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season with a combined score of 7 rpg scored. 

Play UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 14, 2019
Cubs vs Dodgers
Cubs
+129 at pinnacle
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

 Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (7-4, 3.00 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Rich Hill (3-1, 2.50)

Hendricks the Cubs starter has been very good over his last three starts, posting a 2.05 ERA with 20 strikeouts and only two walks over that span and gets my support here tonight. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 15-6  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season. 

CubsMADDON is 91-64  against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  62% or better) in all games he has managed .

Cubs are 10-1 in Hendricks' last 11 starts with 4 days of rest.Cubs are 14-2 in Hendricks' last 16 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Cubs are 4-1 in Hendricks' last 5 starts vs. National League West.Cubs are 4-1 in Hendricks' last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 4-1 in Hendricks' last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cubs are 6-2 in Hendricks' last 8 Friday starts.Cubs are 20-8 in Hendricks' last 28 starts.Cubs are 20-8 in Hendricks' last 28 starts on grass.Cubs are 7-3 in Hendricks' last 10 road starts.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL) are 38-13 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 14, 2019
Mariners vs A's
Mariners
+172 at YouWager
Won
$172
Play Type: Premium

Mariners LH Marco Gonzalez (6-6, 4.77 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Chris Bassitt (3-2, 3.57)

Gonzales snapped a personal six-game losing streak his last time out with a strong start vs. the Angels, allowing 2 hits and 2 runs in 5 2/3 innings. He last faced the A's on March 20, Opening Day in Tokyo, earning the win with 6 effective innings and gets my support here with momentum on his side.Gonzales is 2-1 with a 3.91 ERA in five career appearances against Oakland, including four starts; Bassitt his As pitching opponent  is 0-2 with a 3.33 ERA against Seattle in five games with four starts.

Mariners are 4-0 in Gonzales' last 4 starts during game 1 of a series. 

Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.

Athletics are 0-5 in their last 5 home games.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (OAKLAND) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season are 59-86 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
CFL  |  Jun 14, 2019
Montreal vs Edmonton
UNDER 51½ -108 Lost
$108.0
Play Type: Premium

Montreals offensive line is weak, and last season they allowed 66 sacks. I dont know if they will break that record this season, but I am betting that giving their QB protection will be a problem, and thus producing consistent offence will also be an issue. Meanwhile, their hosts The Eskimos will not be totally be focused on the Alouettes in week one with a Week 2’s match-up with former Eskimo and now BC Lion Mike Reilly looming on the western horizon. With that said, Im expecting the Als to struggle to score while, Edmonton is limited just enough to keep this combined score on the low side of the total.

Montreal    is 19-3 UNDER  in June games since 1996 with the combined average of 44.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

Under is 5-0 in Alouettes last 5 games in Week 1.Under is 24-3 in Alouettes last 27 games in June.Under is 9-2 in Alouettes last 11 road games.Under is 13-6 in Alouettes last 19 games overall. 

Play UNDER 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 15, 2019
Blue Jays vs Astros
Astros
-1½ -119 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium

Astros will send  left-hander Framber Valdez (2-2, 2.73 ERA) to the hill. He hd a quality outing last time  in his previous start, allowing one run on five hits with seven strikeouts over seven innings Valdez, who made his big-league debut Aug. 21, 2018, went 4-1 as a rookie and is 6-1 with a 2.30 ERA over six career starts for Houston. Meanwhile,Left-hander Clayton Richard (0-2, 7.04 ERA) will start for the Blue Jays in the middle game of the series. 

HOUSTON is 20-6 SU vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season with the average margin of victory coming by 2.4 rpg. TORONTO is 7-20 against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season with the average run differential clicking in at 2.7 rpg. 

MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 12-37 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the RL


.

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.