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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 29, 2020
Bears vs Packers
UNDER 44 -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Free

PICK - Bears/Packers UNDER 44
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 274

I think there's a lot to like with the UNDER 44 when the Packers host the Bears on Sunday Night Football. This Chicago offense is a joke. Not only do they got very little to work with at the skill positions, but the offensive line is atrocious. Not many QBs could have success with that unit. 

Mitch Trubisky will be back under center for the Bears. Just because we haven't seen Trubisky in weeks, doesn't mean he's going to look any different. Only thing he brings to the table that Foles doesn't have is mobility, which I think will help the UNDER. Good chance Trubisky keeps a few drives going with his feet. That means more time of the clock and more time where Aaron Rodgers doesn't have the ball. 

Speaking of Rodgers and the Packers offense, they couldn't have looked much worse in the 2nd half of last week's loss to the Colts. When you really look at the schedule for GB, you see they have played a lot of bad defensive teams. 

Last year in the two games between these two teams they combined for 47 points. They only scored 13 in the first meeting and then 34 in the second matchup. Packers haven't scored more than 24 points in 5 straight meetings in the series. 

It also worth pointing out that it's going to be right around freezing with a 15 mph cross-wind that could get stronger as the game goes on. 

UNDER is 12-2-1 in the Bears last 15 games vs a team that's won more than 70% of their games and 8-2 in their last 10 when on a losing streak of 4 or more. Give me the UNDER 44! 

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Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 29, 2020
Chiefs vs Bucs
OVER 55½ -118 Lost
$118.0
Play Type: Premium

40* CHIEFS/BUCS NFL SLAUGHTER (Over 55.5) 

I don't think there's any reason to overthink this one. I know Brady and the Bucs have had their struggles of late, but I just don't think the Chiefs defense is going to be able to keep them in check. I think we get one of the good games from Tampa Bay's offense. 

As for the Chiefs, there's no one getting in the way of Mahomes and that offense right now. Mahomes will be welcoming back Sammy Watkins, giving him a weapon he's really missed the last few weeks. I just really think you can exploit this Bucs defense down the field and that's a recipe for disaster against Mahomes and this offense. I think there's a chance that both teams score into the 30's but we really just need one of the two to go off, as I don't see a scenario where either team scores fewer than 24 points. Play the OVER 55.5! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 29, 2020
Dolphins vs Jets
Dolphins
-6½ -109 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

40* DOLPHINS/JETS NFL NO-BRAINER (Dolphins -6.5) 

I backed the Dolphins before the news that Tua was going to be hurt, but that was with the expectation that he likely wouldn't play. Even if he had been a go, I still would have liked Miami in this spot. I love them now that Fitzpatrick is back at quarterback, as the offense was clearly moving the ball better with him under center. 

There's no reason that Fitz and the Dolphins can't score 30 points in this game. I know Darnold will be back for the Jets, but that doesn't really concern me against a very underrated Dolphins defense. The Jets are scoring 14.9 ppg and giving up 30.2 ppg. Darnold isn't fixing that. 

The only concern here would be Miami not giving New York their full attention, but I just don't see that happening. Dolphins should be locked in off a loss last week and they are trying to win the division. They are just 1-game back of Buffalo and can't afford to lose here. Give me Miami -6.5!  

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 29, 2020
Panthers vs Vikings
OVER 51 -109 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

40* PANTHERS/VIKINGS NFL SHARP STAKE (Over 51) 

I like the OVER 51 in today's matchup between the Panthers and Vikings. I know Carolina won't have McCaffrey and Thielen is out for the Vikings, but there's more than enough weapons on these two offenses to expose the poor talent these two have on the defensive side of the ball. 

Carolina only managed 20 against the Lions last week with P.J. Walker at quarterback, but that was his first start and they should have had a lot more, as Walker threw two interceptions in the endzone. Bridgewater will be back and should expose a bad Vikings secondary. 

Vikings should be able to ride Cook and rookie wideout Jefferson to a lot of points. Don't be fooled by the shoutout from the Panthers defense last week against Detroit. Lions had all their key guys out and Stafford was playing at like 70%. The week before they gave up 46 to the Bucs. 

I think at least one of these teams hit 30 points and both should score no fewer than 20, which makes 51 a very easy number to hit. Give me the OVER 51! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 29, 2020
Raiders vs Falcons
OVER 53½ -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

50* NFL NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 53.5) 

I love the OVER 53.5 in Sunday's matchup between the Raiders and Falcons. I don't see a great defensive effort here from Las Vegas after that crushing loss the Chiefs on Sunday Night Football. With that said, even in normal circumstances I would be high on this Atlanta offense against this Raiders defense. 

While I'm not expecting a great effort defensively, I do think Carr and that Raiders offense will come to play and they too will be up against a deflated defense in the Falcons, who couldn't stop Taysom Hill and the Saints last week. 

These are really two identical teams. Vegas is scoring 28.6 ppg and giving up 27.6 ppg. Atlanta is scoring 25.2 ppg and allowing 27.5 ppg. I think both teams hit the 30-point mark. Not only do we have ideal conditions with the game indoors, but these non-confernece matchups always seem to be a little higher scoring, as there's just not much familiarity with the two teams. 

Speaking to that, OVER is 7-0 last 2 seasons in non-conference games involving the Raiders. OVER is also 33-18 in Atlanta's last 51 after a road loss by 14 or more. Give me the OVER 53.5! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 29, 2020
Giants vs Bengals
Giants
-5½ -115 at pinnacle
Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium

40* GIANTS/BENGALS NFL VEGAS INSIDER (Giants -5.5) 

I’m going to lay the 6-points with the New York Giants on the road against the Cincinnati Bengals. I have big time concerns with the Bengals over the final 6 weeks after losing Joe Burrow to a pretty serious knee injury. I think his injury could suck the life out of this team. They aren’t making the playoffs and without Burrow the Jets probably wouldn’t be the only winless team going into Week 12. 

Burrow suffered the injury less than 5 minutes into the 3rd quarter. From that point on the Bengals offense managed a mere 25 yards of total offense on 21 plays. Ryan Finley came in for Burrow and went 3 of 10 for 30 yards with an interception and was sacked 4 times. 

Word is that Brandon Allen will start instead of Finley against the Giants, but I’m not expecting much better results. Allen’s played in 3 games since being drafted in the 6th round of the 2016 draft. All 3 coming last year with the Broncos. In those 3 starts he completed 39 of 84 attempts (46.4%) with two interceptions and was sacked 9 times. 

Sure the Bengals have some decent weapons at receiver, but they got no running game and an awful offensive line. People don’t realize just how great Burrow was playing given what he had to work with. 

That Cincinnati offense will be up against a Giants defense that can get after the quarterback. New York is T-12th in the league with 25 sacks. 

On of all that, there’s more to like here with New York. The Giants have quietly been playing well for a while now. They are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games and have covered 4 straight. They are just 3-4 SU in these 7 games, but 3 of the losses were by 3-points or less and the other was by just 8 on the road at the Rams. 

You also have to factor in the Giants are coming off their bye week and with a win against the Bengals they will move into a T-1st place in the NFC East with whoever wins with the Redskins/Cowboys game on Thanksgiving. 

This is definitely one of the few times that I would ever consider laying almost a touchdown on the road with a 3-win team, but I really would be shocked if this game was close at all. Give me the Giants -6! 

SERVICE BIO

Brandon Lee has grown up learning the ins and outs of the sports betting industry, and is well known for his ability to bring home consistent winners in every sport he handicaps. Being a successful handicapper requires a lot of work, something that Brandon really takes pride in. If you are serious about bringing home a profit, take the time to see what this handicapper has to offer. You won't be disappointed!