Stephen Nover Stephen Nover

I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 23, 2024
Mariners vs Rangers
Mariners
-107 at YouWager
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Tough spot, tough starting pitching to go against. That's the situation the Rangers face today.

This is Texas' first game at home in 12 days since returning from a 10-game road trip. The Rangers are up against Seattle starter Logan Gilbert.

Gilbert is an emerging star with a 1-0 record and 2.33 ERA. He gets overlooked in Seattle's pitching staff because of Luis Castillo and George Kirby, but he's one of the best No. 3 starters in the league. Gilbert has a 2.88 career ERA vs the Rangers in 10 starts.

Texas starter Dane Dunning isn't in Gilbert's class with a 2-1 record and 3.91 ERA. Dunning has a 4.28 lifetime ERA against Seattle in eight starts.

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 23, 2024
Astros vs Cubs
Astros
-108 at YouWager
Lost
$108.0
Play Type: Top Premium
The Houston Astros have been playing like the Houston Colts .45s. Hard to believe, but the Astros are 7-16. Houston is down from its recent past dominant seasons, but they haven't regressed this much!

What the Astros needed was a day off to regroup and get focused again. They got that on Monday being idle. That means a rested bullpen and a rested Josh Hader.

This is good news for starter J.P. France, who held the Braves to two runs on four hits in five innings this past Wednesday in his last start. The Braves are the top offensive team in baseball.

The Cubs are going with Jordan Wicks, who is 0-2 with a 5.29 ERA. Wicks has yet to complete five innings during any of his first four starts this year. The Cubs have been vulnerable at closer with Adbert Alzolay blowing four of his first seven save opportunities.

Chicago has been without outfielder Ian Happ the past two games due to a hamstring injury. He's second on the Cubs in runs scored. He's questionable.

Bottom line is I like the pitching matchup for the Astros - both starter and bullpen - and they are due to start turning things around. The price is right to back them.
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 23, 2024
Suns vs Wolves
OVER 212 -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

Even though this is playoff basketball, this is too short of a total given the star power these teams possess. 

Minnesota dominated the paint, shooting 50 percent from the floor, in beating the Suns, 120-95, in the series opener this past Saturday. The Suns had trouble matching up and slowing down Anthony Edwards and Karl-Anthony Towns, who were a combined 19-for-33 for 57.5 percent shooting from the field. 

The Suns shot just 44 percent from the floor and 32 percent from 3-point range. They were in the top-five in each category during the regular season making 49.3 percent of their field goals and 38.2 percent of their 3-point shots. 

Saddled with foul trouble, Devin Booker had an off shooting game for the Suns in Game 1. 

The Suns had scored 125 points against the Timberwolves during the final regular season game. I expect Phoenix to come out with a fast-pace and in desperation mode after its embarrassing opening game series loss.

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Apr 24, 2024
Bruins vs Maple Leafs
Maple Leafs
-107 at linepros
Lost
$107.0
Play Type: Premium
Normally I don't care to back the Maple Leafs in the Stanley Cup playoffs given their sad postseason history. But this is a good spot for Toronto. The Maple Leafs' confidence is up after they evening the series at 1-1 with a 3-2 victory against the Bruins this past Monday. That victory also snapped an eight-game losing streak to Boston.  Now the Maple Leafs are at home. They could get William Nylander back. That would be huge. Nylander, second on the team in goals and points, has missed the first two games because of injury.  The Bruins are down a defenseman in their rotation with Andrew Peeke suffering an injury. 
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 24, 2024
Brewers vs Pirates
Brewers
+105 at circa
Won
$105
Play Type: Premium
Look for the Brewers to get back on track here. Pittsburgh has won the first two games of this series. Milwaukee has stranded 12 baserunners. But I see that changing in a pitching matchup of Bryse Wilson for the Brewers against Josh Fleming.  Wilson is pitching well with a 1.00 ERA during his past four outings spanning nine innings. He is 2-0 with a 2.40 ERA in five career outings against the Pirates, his former team. This includes a pair of starts. Fleming hasn't thrown more than three innings in a game this season. So this shapes up as a bullpen game for Pittsburgh. The Pirates have the 10th-highest bullpen ERA. 
SERVICE BIO

Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons.