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Ben Burns |
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| A WHITE HOT 42-24 the L2+ weeks, Ben Burns has an AMAZING 30-13 RECORD his L43 top-rated bets. Overall, he's an AWESOME 145-89 since April 1st! |
| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| NHL | May 27, 2019 Blues vs. Bruins |
Blues +1½ -195 at SPBOOK |
in 20h |
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The Bruins have been impressive with a 40-20 record in the second half of the season and playoffs. However, the Blues have been every bit as hot (42-22) as the Bruins in the second half. They're 4-1 their past five; the lone loss came by a single goal. While both teams have had an extended break, St. Louis has had a reasonable amount of time off while Boston has had "too much" time off. Indeed, the Bruins haven't played since May 16th! That said, I'll note that the Bruins are just 1-6 the past seven times that they played with three or more day's rest. The last meeting was decided by a single goal, a 2-1 win for the Blues. I see another close one. While I'm comfortable laying the extra juice for the valuable +1.5 goals, I also like St. Louis' chances of winning this one outright. Consider the Blues. A WHITE HOT 42-24 the L2+ weeks, Ben Burns has an AMAZING 30-13 RECORD his L43 top-rated bets. Overall, he's an AWESOME 145-89 since April 1st! While his short-term stats are INCREDIBLE, insiders know that it's Ben's long-term success with top-rated bets which really separates him from the crowd. Top-rated hoops have produced $91K IN PROFITS! Top-rated MLB has generated $77K IN PROFITS! |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | May 25, 2019 Marlins vs Nationals |
UNDER 8 +102 |
Won $102 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing on Miami/Washington UNDER the total. Hitters had their way in yesterday's game. This afternoon, I expect the pitching to grab center stage. Alcantara tossed a complete-game 2-hit shutout last time out. He needed only 89 pitches to do it, too. In three daytime starts, he's 2-0 with a dominant 0.41 ERA and 0.68 WHIP. While opposing hitters are batting .323 against him at night, they're hitting only .141 against him during the day. Corbin has also thrived when pitching during the daytime. He's got a 2.75 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in three daytime starts. Overall, in five home starts, he's got a 2.94 ERA and 0.95 WHIP, opposing batters hitting .192 against him here. Yesterday's game notwithstanding, these teams are not scoring a lot of runs. Washington entered yesterday ranked 20th in terms of runs scored per game. Miami was dead last. The UNDER is 12-1 in Miami's day games on the season. Expect those stats to improve here. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | May 25, 2019 Rays vs Indians |
Indians -119 at pinnacle |
Lost $119.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on CLEVELAND. Tampa may have the better overall record but Cleveland has been much better during the afternoon. While the Rays are 11-11 (-5.6) in day games, the Indians are 15-9 (+3.8) in day games. Morton struggled last time out. He lasted just four innings and gave up three runs, while allowing eight (4 hits, 4 walks) to reach base. Carrasco gave up three runs in five innings. Note that he had a 13-inning scoreless streak, prior to that game. Note that Carrasco has been much better at home than on the road and also much better in the day than during the evening. Carrasco has allowed three or fewer earned runs in seven of his last nine starts against Tampa, going a minimum of six complete innings in eight of those nine and greater than six innings in seven of them. Go with the home team. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | May 25, 2019 Bucks vs Raptors |
UNDER 213 -109 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing Milwaukee/Toronto UNDER the total. I won with the 'under' last game and I'm expecting another defensive affair in Game 6. Three of the five games have produced 208 or fewer combined points in regulation. The Raptors have now held Milwaukee to 99, 102 and 96 points, in regulation, the past three games. The Bucks know that they need to get back to the type of defense that limited Toronto to 100, 103 and 96 regulation points the first three games. Note that when they won here in the regular season, the limited the Raptors to 92 points. Last time that they were playing at home with a chance to close out a series, the Raptors won 92-90 over Philly. In fact, the Raptors have allowed 104 or fewer regulation points in all nine of their home playoff games. Look for nothing to come easy in this one, the final combined score again falling below the total. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | May 25, 2019 Bucks vs Raptors |
Bucks +2½ -106 at pinnacle |
Lost $106.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing on MILWAUKEE. After dominating the Pistons and the Celtics, perhaps the Bucks weren't quite ready for the type of street-fight that the Raptors were going to give them. I still think they're the more talented team though and they've had five games to get used to the Raptors intensity. Facing elimination for the first time, I expect Antekoumpo and co. to be at their very best. The Bucks did win here back in January, so they know that they can win in this building. They held Toronto to just 92 points in that game. The Raptors got a huge game from Van Fleet on Thursday; thats unlikely to happen again. Brogdon moved back into the starting lineup in Game 5. Thats a big help for Giannis as it gives them another ball handler. Bledsoe had been playing poorly on offense but was better in Game 5, scoring 20 points. A week ago, everyone was counting out the Raptors and I said not to do so. Now, I'm saying, don't count out the Bucks. This series is going the distance. |
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| PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | May 26, 2019 #Padres vs #Blue Jays |
#Blue Jays +1½ -140 at pinnacle |
P |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing TORONTO on the run-line. (+1.5 runs) Admittedly, Paddack has been great for San Diego. Thats caused them to be road favorites here and allows us to grab an extra +1.5 runs at a reasonable price. While I like Toronto's chances of winning outright, I also feel that the +1.5 runs could come in handy. The Jays have their own candidate (Vlad Jr) for Rookie Of The Year. Off a blowout loss, they're going to be extremely hungry to bounce back and close out a disappointing homestand with a victory. Note that the Jays are 4-2 the past six times that they attempted to avenge a home loss of 10 or more runs. Stroman has also pitched well all season and has allowed just one earned run in each of his past two starts. He's got a 2.81 ERA overall and a 2.45 mark at home. The UNDER is 7-4 when he's been on the mound. In four daytime starts, Stroman's ERA dips to 2.31. In a game where runs could well be at a premium, I'm grabbing the extra +1.5 with the desperate home team and expecting AT LEAST a "run-line cover." |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | May 26, 2019 Braves vs Cardinals |
Cardinals -142 at YouWager |
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| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. The Cardinals rallied to take yesterday's game. They scored four runs in the bottom of the eighth to win 6-3. Gyorko who hit a pinch-hit 3-run HR had this to say: "That's a big win for us. We've been struggling, this has been a tough month. Hopefully, we can look later this month and going into next month and this is a win that got us going." At the least, I expect them to carry the positive momentum into this evening's game. Flaherty is off b2b quality starts, both of them coming on the road, one against these same Braves. Now, he returns home where he's got a stellar 2.48 ERA and 0.931 WHIP through five starts. Teheran has pitched well recently. However, he hasn't fared too well on the road. In seven road starts, he's got a 4.46 ERA. The St. Louis bullpen has been better than the Atlanta bullpen this season and that was the case yesterday. The Cards head for Philadelphia after this. Momentum in their corner, expect them to close out the homestand with an important victory. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | May 26, 2019 #Padres vs #Blue Jays |
UNDER 8½ -114 | P |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on SD/Toronto UNDER the total. Yesterday's game produced 23 runs. I don't even expect to see 1/3 as many in this one. Paddack has been outstanding for the Padres. He's 7-2 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.76 WHIP. (Thats the best ERA through his first nine starts of any Padre pitcher in history.) The UNDER is a profitable 7-2 in his nine starts. Stroman has also pitched well all season and has allowed just one earned run in each of his past two starts. He's got a 2.81 ERA overall and a 2.45 mark at home. The UNDER is 7-4 when he's been on the mound. In four daytime starts, Stroman's ERA dips to 2.31. In three daytime starts, Paddack's ERA is an awesome 0.57, as he's allowed just one run. Opposing batters are hitting .082 against them in those games. Expect a low-scoring affair. |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Age: 45 Background In "Outliers," Malcolm Gladwell asks the question: "What makes high achievers different?" Gladwell suggests that those at the top of their field have a number of similarities - that their upbringing (culture, family, what generation they came from, experiences) had much to do with their success. As a professional sports handicapper, Ben Burns is widely recognized as being "at the top of his field." A look at Ben's upbringing shows that he fits Gladwell's model to a tee. Exposed to the world of point spreads early and often as a child, Burns reached adulthood as the Internet was first beginning to explode, just as the first offshore sportsbooks were springing up. By that time he'd already spent thousands of hours learning and studying stats. From an early age it became apparent to family and friends that Ben wasn't a "typical" fan. At age 11, he was mentioned in a major newspaper (Toronto Star) for correctly predicting a high profile trade before the Major League Baseball trading deadline. (Winner of the contest got tickets to the All Star game.) Ben's father and uncles were always involved in a weekly NFL (ATS) pool. Some of Ben's earliest memories included that pool and his fascination with it. As soon as he was allowed to play, Ben demonstrated an uncanny ability to surprise the adults. Around this time, one of his uncles moved his casino business to the Caribbean. This was the environment which he came from. The caption underneath Ben's high-school graduation photo references Ben's love for betting on football. That's because he was famous throughout his school for annually winning the local football contest, along with the $1700 per year which was awarded to the champ. Coming of age right as the first sports books were coming online, Ben was fortunate to enjoy some success with his some of his early online sports betting endeavors. He did so well that the first shop he ever played at ended up refusing to take his hockey bets. Also, in the very early days of the Internet, Ben won an NBA playoff contest, put on by a company which was called NSS.net. The contest victory awarded him a trip for two to Las Vegas, $1000 cash, a limo at his disposal, free shows, hotel and live sports odds for a year. Not a bad prize for a kid in his early 20s. However, the bigger prize was that Ben was exposed to the world of "professional sports handicapping." Inspired by his personal success and encouraged by his peers, Ben first made his picks available to the public in 1998. Achievements in Handicapping/Sports Top Ranked NFL Handicapper From the years of 1998-2007, Ben's selections were independently documented at one of the Internet's earliest and most respected sports monitors, Big Guy Sports. During that time, Ben earned literally dozens of documented Top 3 finishes in football, basketball, baseball AND hockey, including numerous #1 titles. Competing against a field of 150 of the biggest names in the industry, he ranked as the #1 NFL handicapper in the existence of that sports monitor, in their All-Time rankings. No competing handicapping service ever came close to matching his NFL record. In fact, Ben also ranked as the #1 combined NFL/NCAA football handicapper. 10 Straight Super Bowl Winners A big part of the reason for Ben's #1 NFL titles was his annual success in the playoffs. He fared particularly well with his Super Bowl selections. In fact, from 1999-2007, he released 10 Super Bowl picks (3 Sides, 7 totals) and went a perfect 10-0. (All selections independently documented.) In the middle of that 10-0 streak, in the 2002-2003 season, Ben won with both the Bucs and the "over" the year that they beat the Raiders. That win was particularly sweet as he predicted that Tampa would win the Super Bowl in a number of national magazines, prior to the season even starting. Fantasy Legend Ben got pretty seriously into the DFS world in 2014 and 2015. Recently, he was featured as "The High Roller" in the 2015 documentary, "Living the Fantasy." A regular fixture at Fan Duel and Draft Kings live championship events, Burns has taken down 6-figure scores in football, basketball AND baseball. While many of the other prominent DFS players come from a poker background, two decades as a sports handicapper provide a unique perspective. Biggest Win of 2016 The year has just begun but Ben has already enjoyed some notable wins. His "Bowl Game of the Year," which happened to be a total (WVU/ASU "over") saw the teams combine for 85 points and 1196 total yards, all of them in regulation. Closing out the campaign with wins on Clemson AND the "over" in the championship game was also rewarding. Systems Used For Handicapping Bruce Lee noted: "Man, the living creature, the creating individual, is always more important than any established style of system." Lee was known to talk about being shapeless, formless (like water) and ready to adapt to any situation. Likewise, Burns doesn't rely on any one particular methodology. Rather, he combines fundamental, technical and situational techniques, making use of any and all data, which he deems relevant to the situation. Ben does tend to pay particular attention to the 'situational' side of things. Among numerous other factors, this includes trying to determine when (and why) a team will be extra motivated ("pumped up") to play its best and also when a team may be ripe for a "letdown." Burns has a contrarian nature and this trait is often revealed in his selections. Betting Philosophy Ever adapting, Burns is just as likely to take points as he is to lay them. Over the years, he's played more "unders" than "overs" but that doesn't mean that he won't pull the trigger on an "over" when the time is right to do so. While many handicappers shy away from playing MLB/NHL favorites on the money-line, Ben has proven that one can be highly successful by doing so. For him, it’s all about value. If he can get a team at -130 that he likes and that believes should be -160, than that's a play.
Rating and Titles of Plays Ben uses a scale of 5-10 to show his level of confidence with each play. Plays may include "titles" in order to give users a better idea of what to expect. Some of those titles include: Personal Favorite - Strongest favorite (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day. Best Bet - Strongest underdog (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day, occasionally can be a total. Blue Chip Total - Strongest rated total in that sport/category for the day. Main Event - Big play which is featured on national television. Game Of The Week/Month/Year - Top rated side or total for that particular week/month/year. |
