Jack's Free Pick Friday: Indiana Pacers +10

The Indiana Pacers are surging right now in going 4-1 SU in their last five games overall with their only loss coming to the Los Angeles Clippers.  The trio of Brogdon (21.4 PPG, 6.0 APG), Sabonis (19.9 PPG, 11.5 RPG, 6.0 APG) and LeVert (18.3 PPG, 5.0 APG) is healthy right now which has made the biggest difference.

That trio is good enough to keep the Pacers competitive against almost anyone, including the Utah Jazz this afternoon.  You're definitely paying a tax to back the Jazz right now due to having the best record in the NBA at 41-14 this season.

The Jazz have gone just 3-6 ATS in their last nine games overall.  They were upset by the Mavericks, Suns and Wizards, losing outright to Washington as double-digit favorites two games ago.  They came back and failed to cover against the lowly Thunder in a 10-point win as 16.5-point favorites last time out.

Indiana is 19-8 ATS in its last 27 road games vs. Western Conference opponents.  The Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as road underdogs.  Asking the Jazz to win by double-digits to cover this spread is asking too much this afternoon.  Bet the Pacers Friday.

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15* MLB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Cardinals/Phillies OVER 8

Both the St. Louis Cardinals and Philadelphia Phillies are loaded offensively this season.  And they should have no problem combining for 8 runs or more tonight in Philadelphia's hitter-friendly home park.

The Cardinals have scored 4 or more runs in four of their five road games this season.  The Phillies have scored 4 or more runs in four of their five home games.

Two poor starters square off tonight.  Carlos Martinez cannot seem to get healthy and is off to a shaky start this season, going 0-2 with a 6.30 ERA in his two starts.  Zach Eflin gave up 4 runs in 6 innings against the Braves in his last start for the Phillies.

Philadelphia is 17-5 OVER in its last 22 home games following two or more consecutive unders.  The OVER is 5-0 in Cardinals last five games following an off day.  The OVER is 7-3-1 in Cardinals last 11 road games.  The OVER is 7-2 in Phillies last nine games overall.  Roll with the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Portland Trail Blazers -2

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Portland Trail Blazers after going 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  The four losses came to the Clippers, Jazz, Heat and Celtics.  Now they are highly motivated for a victory and take a big step down in class here against the San Antonio Spurs.

The Blazers are also rested playing on two days' rest since their one-point loss to the Celtics on Tuesday.  Meanwhile, it's a terrible spot for the Spurs as they play their first home game following a five-game road trip. 

I always like fading teams in their first home game back from an extended road trip because there are so many distractions they have to deal with.  And the Spurs are simply a tired team right now playing their 20th game in 37 days.  It's no wonder they are just 4-11 SU in their last 15 games overall.

San Antonio is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after scoring 110 points or more in three straight games.  Portland is 4-0 ATS in its last four games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Spurs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Take the Blazers Friday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Grizzlies/Bulls UNDER 226

Familiarity favors UNDERS and defense, and the Bulls and Grizzlies will be rematching from a game from just five days ago on April 12th.  The Grizzlies won that game 101-90 for 191 combined points.  I can't believe oddsmakers have set this total this high for the rematch, 35 points higher than they combined for in that first meeting.

And the big difference is the Bulls will be without leading scorer Zach LaVine (27.5 PPG) this time around as he is in quarantine.  The Bulls will have to slow it down and run their offensive through Nikola Vucevic, and they won't have the pick-and-roll option between those two that was working so well.

Chicago is 12-4 UNDER in its last 16 games when revenging a road loss.  The UNDER is 7-1 in Bulls last eight home games.  The UNDER is 3-0-1 in the last four meetings.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Heat/Timberwolves OVER 219.5

The Minnesota Timberwolves are a dead nuts OVER team right now with Karl-Anthony Towns and De'Angelo Russell running the show.  They rank 3rd in the NBA in pace at 104.2 possessions per game and 27th in defensive efficiency at 112.3 points per 100 possessions allowed.

Minnesota has now played eight straight games in which they combined with their opponents for 222 or more points.  That makes for a perfect 8-0 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 219.5-point total.

The Miami Heat will be able to name their score tonight agaisnt the Timberwolves.  The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings with combined scores of 220 or more in each of the last three.  That includes a 129-126 win by the Timberwolves for 255 combined points in their most recent meeting.

Minnesota is 9-1 OVER after allowing 130 points or more this season.  Miami is 35-18 OVER in its last 55 road games following a loss by 10 points or more.  The OVER is 5-0 in Miami's last five games vs. a team with a losing record.  The OVER is 4-1 in Timberwolves last five games overall.  Take the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NBA Friday UPSET SHOCKER on Washington Wizards +2

The Washington Wizards are trying desperately to make the playoffs.  They have gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall and have gone 4-1 SU in their last five games overall.  That includes upset road wins over the Warriors and Jazz.

Now the Wizards are back home here hosting the New Orleans Pelicans.  The Pelicans have won three of their last four, but two of those were narrow wins over the Kings and Cavaliers.  They also lost by 10 to the Knicks last time out.

Having Bradley Beal back has made all the difference for the Wizards.  They are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last five games in which Beal has played with their only loss coming by 2 points.  He leads the NBA in scoring at 31.0 points per game.  He and Russell Westbrook are forming a nice chemistry now, and the Wizards are as healthy as they have been all season.

The Pelicans are 10-26-2 ATS in their last 38 Friday games.  New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last six games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last five games playing on one days' rest.  The Wizards are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a win by more than 10 points.  New Orleans is 0-4 ATS in its last four trips to Washington.  Bet the Wizards Friday.

15* MLB Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Louis Cardinals +100

The St. Louis Cardinals will be highly motivated for a victory today. They have lost five of their last six games overall including Game 1 of this series to the Phillies. Look for them to take Game 2 today.

Stud starter Kwang-Hyun Kim makes his season debut today for the Cardinals. He will be opposed by the washed up Matt Moore, who hasn't been good in years. Moore is 0-0 with a 7.56 ERA and 2.041 WHIP in his two starts this season.

The Cardinals are 6-0 in their last six games when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game. The Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 games as favorites. Roll with the Cardinals Saturday.

20* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Los Angeles Lakers +6.5

This is a tough spot for the Utah Jazz. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a big comeback win over the Indiana Pacers yesterday. And now they will likely be without their best player in Donovan Mitchell, who had to have X-Rays on his foot after the game yesterday.

You're definitely paying a tax to back the Jazz at this point due to having the best record in the NBA, and that has shown of late as they are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Jazz.

It's also a good time to 'buy low' on the Lakers. They are coming off a loss to the Celtics and have been great off a loss. The Lakers are a perfect 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a loss. Bet the Lakers Saturday.