Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers Betting Pick

Written by superuser | December 3, 2020

Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers Betting Pick


The Philadelphia Eagles have scored exactly 17 points in three consecutive losses to fall to 3-7-1. In any other season, their playoff chances would be on life support, but this is 2020. Instead, the Eagles find themselves just a half-game out of the lead in the NFC East.

Last season, the Green Bay Packers fell one game short of getting to the Super Bowl. This year, at 8-3, they possess the second-best record in the NFC behind the 9-2 New Orleans Saints.


The Packers host the Eagles in a Week 13 matchup of teams headed in opposite directions on Sunday. The Packers have won three of their last four games, with the only loss in overtime to Indianapolis. Philadelphia hasn’t recorded a victory since Nov. 1 and faces the Saints and Cardinals in its next two games.

Betting Lines

Given all of those trends, it’s not surprising to find the Packers as nine-point favorites at sportsbooks. Aaron Rodgers looks like the Hall of Famer he is sure to become, and Carson Wentz doesn’t. The over/under for the game is at 47.5 points.

On the season, Green Bay is 7-4 against the spread and on the over/under. The Eagles are the reverse, with 4-7 records against the spread and the over/under. Oddsmakers are leaning toward a normal low-scoring Eagles game, which is averaging 46.4 average points.

Our last free pick here at went 1-1, when we picks the Colts -2 versus the Packers a couple weeks ago. Check out our Packers at Colts betting pick.

Can the Eagles Score?

Green Bay is coming off a 41-25 decimation of the Chicago Bears, and the game wasn’t really that close. The Packers forced three turnovers and had a typical offensive and defensive game. They met their season average in yards gained (393), yards allowed (351), and points allowed (25).

For the Eagles, it took a last-minute Hail Mary from Wentz to Richard Rodgers to pull within a touchdown against Seattle. The ensuing two-point conversion allowed Philadelphia to beat the 6.5-point spread in its 23-17 loss to the Seahawks.

Offensively, Philadelphia is a total mess in almost all phases of the game. It ranks dead last in net yards per passing attempt at 4.8 yards.

The Eagles are 27th in passing yards and 28th in total offense. The only reason they’ve been able to stay in games is because of their defense.

Sports Betting 101 > What is a Point Spread & How to Bet Them

Against the pass, they’re ranked eighth in the league in yards and seventh in yards per attempt. Even in the loss to Seattle, they held the Seahawks to just over 300 yards. Unfortunately, they only generated 250 yards on offense.

Green Bay is fourth in the league in total offense and is turnover-free in seven of its eight wins. In their three losses, the Packers have accounted for seven turnovers and only two takeaways. The Eagles are 30th in turnovers, throwing 15 interceptions and losing six fumbles.

Game Prediction

When looking at our free pick, if the Eagles defense can force turnovers and contain Rodgers, they have a chance to cover the spread. They’ll need to exploit a barely average Packers defense if they want to pull the upset.

The Eagles need to give Wentz more time in the pocket or get a surprise from backup Jalen Hurts. At this point in the season, it’s unlikely.

Take the Packers, give the points, and bet the over. Green Bay 31, Philadelphia 17 (why not four games in a row?).